Croatia vs Sweden: result 2-1 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague A - 3Kick-off on October 11, 2020 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb
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What was the result of Croatia vs Sweden?
Croatia won 2-1 on October 11, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 31′N. VlašićCroatia
- 66′M. BergSweden
- 84′A. KramarićCroatia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Croatia have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Sweden have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2020 | Switzerland(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 8, 2020 | France(away) | 2-4 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 5, 2020 | Portugal(away) | 1-4 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 19, 2019 | Georgia(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Nov 16, 2019 | Slovakia(home) | 3-1 | Euro Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2020 | Russia(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 8, 2020 | Portugal(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 5, 2020 | France(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jan 12, 2020 | Kosovo(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Jan 9, 2020 | Moldova(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Croatia score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sweden score 1.8 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Croatia | 1.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| Sweden | 1.8 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy