Croatia vs Sweden: result 2-1 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague A - 3Kick-off on October 11, 2020 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb
Full time
What was the result of Croatia vs Sweden?
Croatia won 2-1 on October 11, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 31′N. VlašićCroatia
- 66′M. BergSweden
- 84′A. KramarićCroatia
Official lineup for Croatia vs Sweden
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Croatia
4-3-1-2- 7J. Brekalo
- 4I. Perišić
- 10L. Modrić
- 13N. Vlašić
- 11M. Brozović
- 8M. Kovačić
- 22D. Melnjak
- 5D. Ćaleta-Car
- 6D. Lovren
- 2F. Uremović
- 1D. Livaković
Sweden
4-4-2- 9M. Berg
- 11A. Isak
- 10E. Forsberg
- 8A. Ekdal
- 20K. Olsson
- 15D. Kulusevski
- 6L. Augustinsson
- 3V. Lindelöf
- 18P. Jansson
- 2M. Lustig
- 1R. Olsen
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Croatia have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Sweden have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2020 | Switzerland(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 8, 2020 | France(away) | 2-4 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 5, 2020 | Portugal(away) | 1-4 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 19, 2019 | Georgia(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Nov 16, 2019 | Slovakia(home) | 3-1 | Euro Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2020 | Russia(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 8, 2020 | Portugal(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 5, 2020 | France(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jan 12, 2020 | Kosovo(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Jan 9, 2020 | Moldova(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Croatia score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sweden score 1.8 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Croatia | 1.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| Sweden | 1.8 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Croatia sit 3rd in UEFA Nations League (3 points from 4 matches) and Sweden sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SwedenGroup D | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | CroatiaGroup C | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 3 |
A question about Croatia vs Sweden?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy