Croatia vs Ukraine: result 1-0 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification Europe1st Round - 5Kick-off on March 24, 2017 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb
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What was the result of Croatia vs Ukraine?
Croatia won 1-0 on March 24, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 38′N. KalinićCroatia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Croatia have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Ukraine have 3, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2017 | China(away) | 1-1 | China Cup |
| Jan 11, 2017 | Chile(away) | 1-1 | China Cup |
| Nov 12, 2016 | Iceland(home) | 2-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Oct 9, 2016 | Finland(away) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Oct 6, 2016 | Kosovo(away) | 6-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2016 | Finland(home) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Oct 9, 2016 | Kosovo(home) | 3-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Oct 6, 2016 | Türkiye(away) | 2-2 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Sep 5, 2016 | Iceland(home) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 21, 2016 | Poland(home) | 0-1 | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Croatia score 1.6 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Ukraine score 0.9 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Croatia | 1.6 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Ukraine | 0.9 | 1.2 | 2 | 3/10 | 3/10 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Croatia sit 1st in World Cup - Qualification Europe (22 points from 8 matches) and Ukraine sit 2nd (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Croatia | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 4 | 22 |
| 2 | Ukraine | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy