Cruz Azul vs Toluca: result 1-0 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 6Kick-off on August 24, 2025 at 03:05 AM (UTC)Estadio Azteca, D.F.
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What was the result of Cruz Azul vs Toluca?
Cruz Azul won 1-0 on August 24, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 78′L. RomeroCruz Azul
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cruz Azul have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Toluca have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2025 | Santos Laguna(home) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 12, 2025 | Atletico San Luis(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Colorado Rapids(home) | 2-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 4, 2025 | Los Angeles Galaxy(away) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 1, 2025 | Seattle Sounders(home) | 0-7 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2025 | Orlando City SC(home) | 0-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 17, 2025 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 12, 2025 | FC Juarez(away) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 5, 2025 | New York City FC(home) | 2-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 2, 2025 | CF Montreal(home) | 2-1 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Cruz Azul win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Toluca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2025 | Toluca 2-2 Cruz Azul | Liga MX |
| Jul 21, 2024 | Cruz Azul 1-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Toluca 0-1 Cruz Azul | Liga MX |
| Jul 8, 2023 | Cruz Azul 0-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Toluca 3-1 Cruz Azul | Liga MX |
| Dec 23, 2022 | Toluca 1-1 Cruz Azul | Copa por México |
How many goals should we expect?
Cruz Azul score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Toluca score 2.0 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruz Azul | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Toluca | 2.0 | 1.0 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cruz Azul sit 6th in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Toluca sit 3rd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Cruz Azul | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 11 | Cruz Azul | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy