Toluca vs Cruz Azul: result 2-2 and analysis
Liga MXClausura - 17Kick-off on April 20, 2025 at 01:05 AM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
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What was the result of Toluca vs Cruz Azul?
Toluca and Cruz Azul drew 2-2 on April 20, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 2′G. FernándezCruz Azul
- 30′J. DomínguezToluca
- 43′J. GallardoToluca
- 45′C. RotondiCruz Azul
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Cruz Azul have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2025 | Atletico San Luis(away) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Atlas(away) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Apr 7, 2025 | Santos Laguna(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Mar 29, 2025 | CF Pachuca(home) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Puebla(away) | 3-0 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2025 | Leon(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Club America(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Apr 9, 2025 | Club America(home) | 2-1 | CONCACAF Champions League |
| Apr 6, 2025 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Apr 2, 2025 | Club America(away) | 0-0 | CONCACAF Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Toluca win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Cruz Azul win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2024 | Cruz Azul 1-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Toluca 0-1 Cruz Azul | Liga MX |
| Jul 8, 2023 | Cruz Azul 0-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Toluca 3-1 Cruz Azul | Liga MX |
| Dec 23, 2022 | Toluca 1-1 Cruz Azul | Copa por México |
| Aug 14, 2022 | Cruz Azul 2-3 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 2.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Cruz Azul score 1.7 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 2.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Cruz Azul | 1.7 | 0.6 | 8 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 3rd in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Cruz Azul sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | Cruz Azul | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 12 | Cruz Azul | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy