Cruz Azul vs Toluca: result 0-1 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 10Kick-off on September 21, 2016 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Azteca, D.F.
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What was the result of Cruz Azul vs Toluca?
Toluca won 0-1 on September 21, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 14′Pablo César BarrientosToluca
Official lineup for Cruz Azul vs Toluca
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Cruz Azul
4-1-4-1- 27J. Benítez
- 9J. Rojas
- 22R. Baca
- 18A. Rojas
- 5F. Silva
- 14A. Ramírez
- 26E. Roco
- 6J. Velázquez
- 4J. Domínguez
- 16A. Aldrete
- 1J. Corona
Toluca
4-2-3-1- 9A. Vega
- 26E. Trejo
- 20F. Uribe
- 11C. Esquivel
- 15Antonio Ríos Martínez
- 6Ó. Rojas
- 24Pablo César Barrientos
- 5O. González
- 33G. Flores
- 4P. Da Silva
- 1A. Talavera
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Cruz Azul have 3 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Toluca have 3, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2016 | Jaguares de Chiapas(away) | 3-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 10, 2016 | Club America(home) | 3-4 | Liga MX |
| Aug 28, 2016 | Atlas(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 20, 2016 | Santos Laguna(home) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 13, 2016 | Club Queretaro(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2016 | Guadalajara Chivas(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 11, 2016 | Puebla(away) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 28, 2016 | Monarcas(home) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 20, 2016 | Veracruz(away) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 14, 2016 | Tigres UANL(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Cruz Azul score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 12; Toluca score 1.3 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruz Azul | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/12 | 6/12 |
| Toluca | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 5/9 | 4/9 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cruz Azul sit 2nd in Liga MX (26 points from 14 matches) and Toluca sit 5th (23 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 23 | 26 |
| 5 | Toluca | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 19 | 23 |
A question about Cruz Azul vs Toluca?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy