Cruz Azul vs Toluca: result 0-1 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 10Kick-off on September 21, 2016 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Azteca, D.F.
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What was the result of Cruz Azul vs Toluca?
Toluca won 0-1 on September 21, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 14′Pablo César BarrientosToluca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Cruz Azul have 3 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Toluca have 3, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2016 | Jaguares de Chiapas(away) | 3-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 10, 2016 | Club America(home) | 3-4 | Liga MX |
| Aug 28, 2016 | Atlas(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 20, 2016 | Santos Laguna(home) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 13, 2016 | Club Queretaro(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2016 | Guadalajara Chivas(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 11, 2016 | Puebla(away) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 28, 2016 | Monarcas(home) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 20, 2016 | Veracruz(away) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 14, 2016 | Tigres UANL(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Cruz Azul score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 12; Toluca score 1.3 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruz Azul | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/12 | 6/12 |
| Toluca | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 5/9 | 4/9 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cruz Azul sit 6th in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Toluca sit 3rd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | Cruz Azul | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 12 | Cruz Azul | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy