Arsenal vs Hull City: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Emirates Stadium, London
The Footlab AI model makes Arsenal the favourite at 80%, against 14% for a draw and 6% for Hull City. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,461 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arsenal vs Hull City?
Arsenal is a heavy favourite: 2,388 Elo points against 1,947, a 441-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Arsenal vs Hull City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Arsenal
4-2-3-1- 29K. Havertz
- 41D. Rice
- 8M. Ødegaard
- 20N. Madueke
- 39Bruno Guimarães
- 17C. Tzolis
- 6Gabriel Magalhães
- 15E. Konsa
- 33R. Calafiori
- 12J. Timber
- 1David Raya
Hull City
5-4-1- 9O. McBurnie
- 27R. Slater
- 10M. Belloumi
- 21E. Stroud
- 42T. Iroegbunam
- 2L. Coyle
- 6S. Ajayi
- 15J. Egan
- 3R. Giles
- 32N. Mendy
- 19K. Tzolakis
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 03:34 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arsenal have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat; Hull City have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Everton(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Bayern München(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Ipswich(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Brentford(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Fulham(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Everton(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Newcastle(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Arsenal wins, 1 draw, 0 Hull City wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2017 | Arsenal 2-0 Hull City | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2016 | Hull City 1-4 Arsenal | Premier League |
| Mar 8, 2016 | Hull City 0-4 Arsenal | FA Cup |
| Feb 20, 2016 | Arsenal 0-0 Hull City | FA Cup |
| May 4, 2015 | Hull City 1-3 Arsenal | Premier League |
| Jan 4, 2015 | Arsenal 2-0 Hull City | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Arsenal score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hull City score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 1.9 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Hull City | 1.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arsenal sit 1st in Premier League (24 points from 9 matches) and Hull City sit 11th (11 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
| 11 | Hull City | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 11 |
A question about Arsenal vs Hull City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arsenal vs Hull City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Arsenal the favourite at 80%, against 14% for a draw and 6% for Hull City.
- Where and when is Arsenal vs Hull City played?
- Arsenal vs Hull City is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Emirates Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.