Ipswich vs Bournemouth: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Portman Road, Ipswich, Suffolk
The Footlab model makes Bournemouth the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Ipswich. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ipswich vs Bournemouth?
Bournemouth starts as the favourite with a 174-point Elo edge (2,194 vs 2,019).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ipswich have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Bournemouth have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sunderland(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Union Berlin(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Le Havre(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Manchester City(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FSV Mainz 05(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Betis(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Genoa(home) | 10-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | FC Augsburg(away) | 5-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ipswich win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Bournemouth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2025 | Bournemouth 1-2 Ipswich | Premier League |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Ipswich 1-2 Bournemouth | Premier League |
| Apr 3, 2015 | Ipswich 1-1 Bournemouth | Championship |
| Nov 22, 2014 | Bournemouth 2-2 Ipswich | Championship |
| Apr 21, 2014 | Ipswich 2-2 Bournemouth | Championship |
| Dec 29, 2013 | Bournemouth 1-1 Ipswich | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Bournemouth vs Ipswich on Apr 2, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Ipswich score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bournemouth score 2.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Bournemouth | 2.5 | 1.2 | 3 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ipswich sit 7th in Premier League (3 points from 1 matches) and Bournemouth sit 14th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Ipswich | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ipswich vs Bournemouth?
- The Footlab model makes Bournemouth the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Ipswich.
- Where and when is Ipswich vs Bournemouth played?
- Ipswich vs Bournemouth is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Portman Road, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.