Brighton vs Brentford: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The American Express Community Stadium, Falmer, East Sussex
The Footlab AI model makes Brighton the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Brentford. The most likely score is 1-1. If Brighton wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brighton vs Brentford?
On Elo ratings, Brighton has 2,328 points and Brentford 2,290.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Brighton vs Brentford
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Brighton
4-2-3-1- 19C. Kostoulas
- 13P. Groß
- 25D. Gómez
- 29M. De Cuyper
- 26Y. Ayari
- 35M. Yalcouyé
- 21O. Boscagli
- 44L. Vušković
- 24F. Kadıoğlu
- 4P. Struijk
- 1B. Verbruggen
Brentford
4-2-3-1- 9Thiago
- 27V. Janelt
- 7K. Schade
- 24M. Damsgaard
- 19J. Anthony
- 6Y. Yarmolyuk
- 23K. Lewis-Potter
- 20K. Ajer
- 33M. Kayode
- 44Jannik Schuster
- 1C. Kelleher
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 11:23 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brighton have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Brentford have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Manchester United(away) | 3-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Coventry(away) | 5-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Leeds(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Chelsea(away) | 3-4 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Chelsea(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Reading(away) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bournemouth(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Sunderland(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Leeds(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Brighton wins, 2 draws, 1 Brentford win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Brentford 0-2 Brighton | Premier League |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Brighton 2-1 Brentford | Premier League |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Brentford 4-2 Brighton | Premier League |
| Dec 27, 2024 | Brighton 0-0 Brentford | Premier League |
| Apr 3, 2024 | Brentford 0-0 Brighton | Premier League |
| Dec 6, 2023 | Brighton 2-1 Brentford | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Brentford vs Brighton on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Brighton score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Brentford score 2.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton | 2.3 | 1.1 | 8 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
| Brentford | 2.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brighton sit 3rd in Premier League (10 points from 5 matches) and Brentford sit 4th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Brighton | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | 10 |
| 4 | Brentford | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
A question about Brighton vs Brentford?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brighton vs Brentford?
- The Footlab AI model makes Brighton the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Brentford.
- Where and when is Brighton vs Brentford played?
- Brighton vs Brentford is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The American Express Community Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.