Crystal Palace vs Sparta Praha: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa LeagueLeague Stage - 7Kick-off on January 21, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Selhurst Park, London
The Footlab AI model makes Crystal Palace the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Sparta Praha. The most likely score is 1-1. If Crystal Palace wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,933 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Crystal Palace vs Sparta Praha?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Crystal Palace (2,060) and Sparta Praha (2,064).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Crystal Palace vs Sparta Praha
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Crystal Palace
3-4-2-1- 14J. Mateta
- 3T. Mitchell
- 20A. Wharton
- 10Yeremy Pino
- 18D. Kamada
- 25A. Khalaili
- 23Q. Timber
- 26C. Richards
- 6J. Canvot
- 21H. Ahanor
- 1D. Henderson
Sparta Praha
4-3-3- 7J. Alcócer
- 14J. Braut Brunes
- 27E. Singhateh
- 20S. Mannsverk
- 18A. Irving
- 28R. Macek
- 6T. Guddal
- 25K. Hoever
- 2M. Suchomel
- 22L. Mbe Soh
- 44J. Surovčík
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 01:14 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crystal Palace have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Sparta Praha have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Tottenham(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Fulham(away) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Newcastle(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Beşiktaş(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | Bournemouth(home) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Bohemians 1905(away) | 0-0 | Czech Liga |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Baník Ostrava(home) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Slovácko(home) | 5-1 | Czech Liga |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Olympiakos Piraeus(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
How many goals should we expect?
Crystal Palace score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Praha score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 1.5 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Sparta Praha | 1.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Crystal Palace sit 21st in UEFA Europa League (5 points from 4 matches) and Sparta Praha sit 22nd (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Crystal Palace | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 5 |
| 22 | Sparta Praha | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
A question about Crystal Palace vs Sparta Praha?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Crystal Palace vs Sparta Praha?
- The Footlab AI model makes Crystal Palace the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Sparta Praha.
- Where and when is Crystal Palace vs Sparta Praha played?
- Crystal Palace vs Sparta Praha is played on January 21, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Selhurst Park, in the UEFA Europa League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.