Sparta Praha vs Rennes: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa LeagueLeague Stage - 8Kick-off on January 28, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC)epet ARENA, Praha
The Footlab AI model makes Sparta Praha the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Rennes. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sparta Praha wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,796 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sparta Praha vs Rennes?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Sparta Praha (2,124) and Rennes (2,092).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sparta Praha vs Rennes
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sparta Praha
4-2-3-1- 14J. Braut Brunes
- 38H. Sochurek
- 27E. Singhateh
- 18A. Irving
- 31M. Jurásek
- 28R. Macek
- 6T. Guddal
- 2M. Suchomel
- 19A. Ševínský
- 15V. Vitályos
- 44J. Surovčík
Rennes
4-3-3- 9E. Lepaul
- 10L. Blas
- 11Mousa Tamari
- 17S. Szymański
- 45M. Camara
- 21V. Rongier
- 4C. Cresswell
- 95P. Frankowski
- 18M. Nagida
- 24A. Rouault
- 30B. Samba
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 02:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sparta Praha have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Rennes have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Baník Ostrava(away) | 0-0 | Czech Liga |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Lillestrom(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Pardubice(home) | 2-0 | Czech Liga |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Vysočina Jihlava(home) | 5-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sigma Olomouc(away) | 3-0 | Czech Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Paris FC(away) | 3-4 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 15, 2026 | OFI(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Auxerre(home) | 4-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Laval(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lyon(away) | 0-4 | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Sparta Praha score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Rennes score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Praha | 2.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Rennes | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sparta Praha sit 11th in UEFA Europa League (4 points from 2 matches) and Rennes sit 13th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Sparta Praha | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
| 13 | Rennes | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
A question about Sparta Praha vs Rennes?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sparta Praha vs Rennes?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sparta Praha the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Rennes.
- Where and when is Sparta Praha vs Rennes played?
- Sparta Praha vs Rennes is played on January 28, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at epet ARENA, in the UEFA Europa League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.