Newcastle vs Brentford: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)St. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne
The Footlab AI model makes Newcastle the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Brentford. The most likely score is 1-1. If Newcastle wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,462 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Newcastle vs Brentford?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Newcastle (2,259) and Brentford (2,330).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Newcastle vs Brentford
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Newcastle
4-2-3-1- 9Y. Wissa
- 11H. Barnes
- 28J. Willock
- 6Nico González
- 23J. Murphy
- 7Joelinton
- 3L. Hall
- 4S. Botman
- 12M. Thiaw
- 67L. Miley
- 21L. Horníček
Brentford
4-2-3-1- 9Thiago
- 23K. Lewis-Potter
- 7K. Schade
- 11D. Ouattara
- 8M. Jensen
- 27V. Janelt
- 20K. Ajer
- 33M. Kayode
- 4S. van den Berg
- 2A. Hickey
- 1C. Kelleher
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 05:47 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newcastle have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Brentford have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Crystal Palace(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Coventry(away) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Hull City(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Leeds(away) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Hull City(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Liverpool(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Aston Villa(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Chelsea(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Reading(away) | 2-1 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Newcastle wins, 0 draws, 3 Brentford wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Newcastle 2-3 Brentford | Premier League |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Brentford 3-1 Newcastle | Premier League |
| Apr 2, 2025 | Newcastle 2-1 Brentford | Premier League |
| Dec 18, 2024 | Newcastle 3-1 Brentford | League Cup |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Brentford 4-2 Newcastle | Premier League |
| May 19, 2024 | Brentford 2-4 Newcastle | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Newcastle vs Brentford on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Newcastle score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Brentford score 2.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Brentford | 2.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newcastle sit 14th in Premier League (8 points from 7 matches) and Brentford sit 7th (10 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Brentford | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Newcastle | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 8 |
A question about Newcastle vs Brentford?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Newcastle vs Brentford?
- The Footlab AI model makes Newcastle the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Brentford.
- Where and when is Newcastle vs Brentford played?
- Newcastle vs Brentford is played on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at St. James' Park, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.