CS Hammam-Lif vs ES Hammam-Sousse: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 13Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Hammam-Lif Gazon, Hammam-Lif
The Footlab model makes CS Hammam-Lif the favourite at 48%, against 34% for a draw and 19% for ES Hammam-Sousse. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CS Hammam-Lif vs ES Hammam-Sousse?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate CS Hammam-Lif (1,749) and ES Hammam-Sousse (1,732).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CS Hammam-Lif have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; ES Hammam-Sousse have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Stade Gabesien(home) | 3-0 | Ligue 2 |
| May 25, 2026 | AS Kasserine(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| May 11, 2026 | ES Hammam-Sousse(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| May 1, 2026 | Kerkennah(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Menzel Bourguiba(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | US Monastirienne(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 29, 2026 | Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer(home) | 2-3 | Ligue 2 |
| May 11, 2026 | CS Hammam-Lif(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| May 1, 2026 | Sfax Railways(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Kerkennah(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 CS Hammam-Lif win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 ES Hammam-Sousse win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2026 | CS Hammam-Lif 1-1 ES Hammam-Sousse | Ligue 2 |
| Dec 13, 2025 | ES Hammam-Sousse 1-0 CS Hammam-Lif | Ligue 2 |
| May 12, 2025 | CS Hammam-Lif 3-1 ES Hammam-Sousse | Ligue 2 |
| Dec 24, 2024 | ES Hammam-Sousse 2-0 CS Hammam-Lif | Ligue 2 |
| Jun 13, 2024 | ES Hammam-Sousse 3-1 CS Hammam-Lif | Ligue 2 |
| Dec 28, 2023 | CS Hammam-Lif 2-1 ES Hammam-Sousse | Ligue 2 |
Last archived meeting: CS Hammam-Lif vs ES Hammam-Sousse on May 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CS Hammam-Lif score 1.3 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; ES Hammam-Sousse score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 25% probability of over 2.5 goals and 31% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CS Hammam-Lif | 1.3 | 0.5 | 9 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
| ES Hammam-Sousse | 1.7 | 0.7 | 9 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | ES Hammam-Sousse | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CS Hammam-Lif vs ES Hammam-Sousse?
- The Footlab model makes CS Hammam-Lif the favourite at 48%, against 34% for a draw and 19% for ES Hammam-Sousse.
- Where and when is CS Hammam-Lif vs ES Hammam-Sousse played?
- CS Hammam-Lif vs ES Hammam-Sousse is played on December 26, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Hammam-Lif Gazon, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 25% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.