CS Sfaxien vs ES Metlaoui: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 12Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stade Taïeb Mhiri, Safāqis
The Footlab AI model makes CS Sfaxien the favourite at 74%, against 20% for a draw and 6% for ES Metlaoui. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,160 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CS Sfaxien vs ES Metlaoui?
CS Sfaxien starts as the favourite with a 191-point Elo edge (1,908 vs 1,717).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for CS Sfaxien vs ES Metlaoui
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
CS Sfaxien
4-2-1-3- 11I. Belwafi
- 18E. Ogbole
- 9J. Loulendo
- 14J. Mbé
- 19L. Trayi
- 33M. Trabelsi
- 10A. Maâloul
- 24H. Mathlouthi
- 15K. Mundeko
- 17M. Mhadhebi
- 30A. Dahmen
ES Metlaoui
4-3-3- 14B. Nana
- 9O. Naffati
- 7B. Hajji
- 18O. Hicheri
- 20A. Ghrissi
- 19C. Bodian
- 5M. Belghith
- 34Montasser Toumi
- 15Y. Soltani
- 26A. Tlili
- 27M. Bejaoui
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 02:42 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CS Sfaxien have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; ES Metlaoui have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | ES Sahel(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 29, 2026 | ES Tunis(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | AFAD(home) | 1-0 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | AFAD(away) | 1-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | ES Zarzis(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | AS Marsa(away) | 0-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Stade Tunisien(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Jeunesse Sportive Omrane(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | ES Hammam-Sousse(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 CS Sfaxien wins, 1 draw, 3 ES Metlaoui wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | CS Sfaxien 2-0 ES Metlaoui | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 22, 2025 | ES Metlaoui 2-1 CS Sfaxien | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 19, 2025 | CS Sfaxien 1-1 ES Metlaoui | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 22, 2024 | ES Metlaoui 2-1 CS Sfaxien | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 25, 2023 | CS Sfaxien 2-0 ES Metlaoui | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 17, 2023 | ES Metlaoui 1-0 CS Sfaxien | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: CS Sfaxien vs ES Metlaoui on Jan 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CS Sfaxien score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; ES Metlaoui score 0.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 26% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CS Sfaxien | 1.1 | 0.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 3/15 |
| ES Metlaoui | 0.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CS Sfaxien sit 8th in Ligue 1 (10 points from 7 matches) and ES Metlaoui sit 12th (6 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | CS Sfaxien | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 10 |
| 12 | ES Metlaoui | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 6 |
A question about CS Sfaxien vs ES Metlaoui?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CS Sfaxien vs ES Metlaoui?
- The Footlab AI model makes CS Sfaxien the favourite at 74%, against 20% for a draw and 6% for ES Metlaoui.
- Where and when is CS Sfaxien vs ES Metlaoui played?
- CS Sfaxien vs ES Metlaoui is played on December 19, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Taïeb Mhiri, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.