ES Zarzis vs ES Sahel: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 12Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Complexe Sportif Abdessalem Kazouz, Zarzis
The Footlab AI model makes ES Zarzis the favourite at 45%, against 31% for a draw and 24% for ES Sahel. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 2,922 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ES Zarzis vs ES Sahel?
A very open match: only 0 Elo points separate ES Zarzis (1,747) and ES Sahel (1,747).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for ES Zarzis vs ES Sahel
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
ES Zarzis
4-2-1-3- 9K. Sowe
- 7O. Hamdi
- 10H. Jertila
- 17D. Nyengue
- 26Y. El Kassah
- 20M. Smaali
- 29Pape Toure
- 25J. Belkilani
- 30Sadok Touj
- 35Hazem Mounadi
- 22S. Charfi
ES Sahel
4-3-3- 7A. Ben Dhiaf
- 9M. Chaabani
- 29M. Senghor
- 25Ousmane Diakhate
- 30Rayane Anane
- 8O. Abid
- 2W. Kechrida
- 15B. Diarra
- 5K. Lanquetin
- 14N. Ferjani
- 16S. Ben Hsan
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 07:03 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ES Zarzis have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; ES Sahel have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Réal Bamako(home) | 1-3 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | ES Hammam-Sousse(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Club Africain(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | US Monastirienne(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Diambars(away) | 0-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Olympique Béja(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | CS Hammam-Lif(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | AS Marsa(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Jeunesse Sportive Omrane(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | ES Metlaoui(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 ES Zarzis wins, 1 draw, 3 ES Sahel wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2026 | ES Zarzis 3-1 ES Sahel | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 5, 2025 | ES Sahel 1-0 ES Zarzis | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 9, 2025 | ES Sahel 0-1 ES Zarzis | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 24, 2024 | ES Zarzis 2-3 ES Sahel | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 16, 2022 | ES Zarzis 0-3 ES Sahel | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 4, 2021 | ES Sahel 1-1 ES Zarzis | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
ES Zarzis score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; ES Sahel score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ES Zarzis | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| ES Sahel | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ES Zarzis sit 12th in Ligue 1 (6 points from 5 matches) and ES Sahel sit 11th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | ES Sahel | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
| 12 | ES Zarzis | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
A question about ES Zarzis vs ES Sahel?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ES Zarzis vs ES Sahel?
- The Footlab AI model makes ES Zarzis the favourite at 45%, against 31% for a draw and 24% for ES Sahel.
- Where and when is ES Zarzis vs ES Sahel played?
- ES Zarzis vs ES Sahel is played on December 19, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Complexe Sportif Abdessalem Kazouz, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.