US Ben Guerdane vs ES Tunis: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 12Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stade de Ben Guerdane, Ben Gardane
The Footlab AI model makes ES Tunis the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for US Ben Guerdane. The most likely score is 1-1. If ES Tunis wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,446 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win US Ben Guerdane vs ES Tunis?
ES Tunis starts as the favourite with a 277-point Elo edge (2,035 vs 1,757).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for US Ben Guerdane vs ES Tunis
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
US Ben Guerdane
4-3-3- 7A. M'Ghezzi Bakhouche
- 33N. Chachia
- 17A. Amri
- 10Ghazi Ayadi
- 8M. Camara
- 21G. Mounguide
- 30D. Oboh
- 25S. Harabi
- 14M. Yeken
- 5T. El Islem
- 31L. Hammami
ES Tunis
4-3-3- 7I. Faraj
- 27H. Mastouri
- 11Y. Belaïli
- 8H. Rafia
- 16J. Castillo
- 21A. Konaté
- 25R. Chikhaoui
- 12N. Laifi
- 13M. Dräger
- 6H. Jelassi
- 32B. Ben Saïd
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 03:39 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, US Ben Guerdane have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; ES Tunis have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Club Africain(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | CS Hammam-Lif(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | CS Sfaxien(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | US Monastirienne(away) | 3-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Olympique Béja(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Olympique Béja(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | CS Hammam-Lif(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | AS Marsa(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Jeunesse Sportive Omrane(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 23, 2026 | ES Sahel(home) | 3-2 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 US Ben Guerdane wins, 2 draws, 4 ES Tunis wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2026 | US Ben Guerdane 0-1 ES Tunis | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 10, 2026 | ES Tunis 4-0 US Ben Guerdane | Ligue 1 |
| May 25, 2025 | US Ben Guerdane 0-3 ES Tunis | Cup |
| Mar 8, 2025 | ES Tunis 1-1 US Ben Guerdane | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 22, 2024 | US Ben Guerdane 1-1 ES Tunis | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 1, 2023 | ES Tunis 2-0 US Ben Guerdane | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: US Ben Guerdane vs ES Tunis on May 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
US Ben Guerdane score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; ES Tunis score 1.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Ben Guerdane | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| ES Tunis | 1.5 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
US Ben Guerdane sit 3rd in Ligue 1 (11 points from 5 matches) and ES Tunis sit 1st (12 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ES Tunis | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 12 |
| 3 | US Ben Guerdane | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 11 |
A question about US Ben Guerdane vs ES Tunis?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for US Ben Guerdane vs ES Tunis?
- The Footlab AI model makes ES Tunis the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for US Ben Guerdane.
- Where and when is US Ben Guerdane vs ES Tunis played?
- US Ben Guerdane vs ES Tunis is played on December 19, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stade de Ben Guerdane, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.