ES Hammam-Sousse vs AS Marsa: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 12Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stade Municipale Bou Ali-Lahouar, Hammam-Sousse
The Footlab AI model makes ES Hammam-Sousse the favourite at 45%, against 33% for a draw and 22% for AS Marsa. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,511 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ES Hammam-Sousse vs AS Marsa?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate ES Hammam-Sousse (1,678) and AS Marsa (1,724).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for ES Hammam-Sousse vs AS Marsa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
ES Hammam-Sousse
Not enough data to predict the ES Hammam-Sousse lineup.
AS Marsa
4-2-3-1- 10M. Hamrouni
- 6K. Khalfa
- 28A. Ben Hamida
- 8A. Guesmi
- 15R. Gneba
- 27M. Khaloui
- 2M. Chaouch
- 5O. Bahri
- 17O. Jebali
- 34M. Kechiche
- 16C. H. Ben
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 04:48 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ES Hammam-Sousse have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; AS Marsa have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | ES Zarzis(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Stade Tunisien(home) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | ES Metlaoui(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Club Africain(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | US Monastirienne(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Jeunesse Sportive Omrane(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | ES Sahel(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | ES Tunis(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 23, 2026 | CA Bizertin(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 ES Hammam-Sousse win, 1 draw, 0 AS Marsa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | ES Hammam-Sousse 1-1 AS Marsa | Ligue 2 |
| Nov 16, 2024 | AS Marsa 0-1 ES Hammam-Sousse | Ligue 2 |
Last archived meeting: ES Hammam-Sousse vs AS Marsa on Mar 8, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
ES Hammam-Sousse score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; AS Marsa score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ES Hammam-Sousse | 1.1 | 1.0 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| AS Marsa | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ES Hammam-Sousse sit 16th in Ligue 1 (1 point from 5 matches) and AS Marsa sit 11th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | AS Marsa | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 16 | ES Hammam-Sousse | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
A question about ES Hammam-Sousse vs AS Marsa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ES Hammam-Sousse vs AS Marsa?
- The Footlab AI model makes ES Hammam-Sousse the favourite at 45%, against 33% for a draw and 22% for AS Marsa.
- Where and when is ES Hammam-Sousse vs AS Marsa played?
- ES Hammam-Sousse vs AS Marsa is played on December 19, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Municipale Bou Ali-Lahouar, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.