CSKA Moscow vs Dinamo Makhachkala: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)VEB Arena, Moskva
The Footlab model makes CSKA Moscow the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Dinamo Makhachkala. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CSKA Moscow vs Dinamo Makhachkala?
A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate CSKA Moscow (2,015) and Dinamo Makhachkala (1,922).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CSKA Moscow have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Dinamo Makhachkala have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lokomotiv(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Akron(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fakel(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Rostov(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Lokomotiv(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Krasnodar(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Baltika(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov(away) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dynamo(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 CSKA Moscow win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Dinamo Makhachkala win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | CSKA Moscow 3-1 Dinamo Makhachkala | Premier League |
| Nov 26, 2025 | CSKA Moscow 2-1 Dinamo Makhachkala | Cup |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Dinamo Makhachkala 0-1 CSKA Moscow | Premier League |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Dinamo Makhachkala 1-0 CSKA Moscow | Cup |
| Mar 29, 2025 | CSKA Moscow 2-0 Dinamo Makhachkala | Premier League |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Dinamo Makhachkala 0-1 CSKA Moscow | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: CSKA Moscow vs Dinamo Makhachkala on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CSKA Moscow score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Dinamo Makhachkala score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Moscow | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Dinamo Makhachkala | 1.4 | 1.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CSKA Moscow sit 3rd in Premier League (11 points from 5 matches) and Dinamo Makhachkala sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Dinamo Makhachkala | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CSKA Moscow vs Dinamo Makhachkala?
- The Footlab model makes CSKA Moscow the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Dinamo Makhachkala.
- Where and when is CSKA Moscow vs Dinamo Makhachkala played?
- CSKA Moscow vs Dinamo Makhachkala is played on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at VEB Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.