Akron vs Baltika: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Solidarnost Samara Arena, Samara
The Footlab model makes Baltika the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Akron. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Akron vs Baltika?
Baltika starts as the favourite with a 170-point Elo edge (1,975 vs 1,805).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Akron have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Baltika have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | CSKA Moscow(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rodina Moskva(away) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lokomotiv(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | FC Rostov(home) | 0-4 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Rubin(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Dinamo Makhachkala(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Spartak Moscow(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Zenit(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Akron win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Baltika win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2026 | Akron 0-1 Baltika | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Baltika 0-1 Akron | Premier League |
| Oct 1, 2025 | Baltika 3-0 Akron | Cup |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Akron 0-2 Baltika | Premier League |
| Jul 29, 2025 | Akron 2-1 Baltika | Cup |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Baltika 5-3 Akron | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Akron score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Baltika score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akron | 1.0 | 1.7 | 4 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
| Baltika | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Akron sit 16th in Premier League (2 points from 5 matches) and Baltika sit 6th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Baltika | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 16 | Akron | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Akron vs Baltika?
- The Footlab model makes Baltika the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Akron.
- Where and when is Akron vs Baltika played?
- Akron vs Baltika is played on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Solidarnost Samara Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.