Dinamo Makhachkala vs CSKA Moscow: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 17, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC)Anzhi Arena, Kaspiysk
The Footlab model makes Dinamo Makhachkala the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for CSKA Moscow. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dinamo Makhachkala vs CSKA Moscow?
A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Dinamo Makhachkala (1,921) and CSKA Moscow (2,014).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dinamo Makhachkala have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; CSKA Moscow have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Krasnodar(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Baltika(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov(away) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dynamo(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lokomotiv(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Akron(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fakel(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Rostov(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Lokomotiv(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Dinamo Makhachkala win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 CSKA Moscow win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | CSKA Moscow 3-1 Dinamo Makhachkala | Premier League |
| Nov 26, 2025 | CSKA Moscow 2-1 Dinamo Makhachkala | Cup |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Dinamo Makhachkala 0-1 CSKA Moscow | Premier League |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Dinamo Makhachkala 1-0 CSKA Moscow | Cup |
| Mar 29, 2025 | CSKA Moscow 2-0 Dinamo Makhachkala | Premier League |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Dinamo Makhachkala 0-1 CSKA Moscow | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: CSKA Moscow vs Dinamo Makhachkala on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dinamo Makhachkala score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; CSKA Moscow score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Makhachkala | 1.4 | 1.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| CSKA Moscow | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dinamo Makhachkala sit 5th in Premier League (9 points from 5 matches) and CSKA Moscow sit 3rd (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Dinamo Makhachkala | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dinamo Makhachkala vs CSKA Moscow?
- The Footlab model makes Dinamo Makhachkala the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for CSKA Moscow.
- Where and when is Dinamo Makhachkala vs CSKA Moscow played?
- Dinamo Makhachkala vs CSKA Moscow is played on September 17, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC) at Anzhi Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.