FC Orenburg vs Akhmat: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Gazovik, Rostoshi
The Footlab AI model makes FC Orenburg the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Akhmat. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC Orenburg wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 3,253 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Orenburg vs Akhmat?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate FC Orenburg (1,883) and Akhmat (1,857).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Orenburg vs Akhmat
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Orenburg
4-2-3-1- 30G. Guzina
- 20D. Rybchinskiy
- 78R. Kul
- 8D. Puebla
- 57E. Bolotov
- 10J. Thompson
- 26E. Tsenov
- 5A. Tataev
- 24M. Sivis
- 6J. Palacios
- 1B. Ovsyannikov
Akhmat
4-2-3-1- 77G. Melkadze
- 7L. Sadulaev
- 17Egas Cacintura
- 11Ismael Silva Lima
- 4T. Ibishev
- 10K. Shchetinin
- 8M. Bogosavac
- 5K. Cake
- 6K. Sidibé
- 95A. Adamov
- 1V. Ulyanov
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 10:33 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Orenburg have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Akhmat have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Akhmat(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Rodina Moskva(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Rubin(away) | 4-1 | Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dinamo Makhachkala(home) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tekstilshchik(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | FC Orenburg(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Zenit(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Dynamo(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Baltika(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Akron(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FC Orenburg wins, 1 draw, 2 Akhmat wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Akhmat 0-1 FC Orenburg | Premier League |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Akhmat 1-0 FC Orenburg | Premier League |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Akhmat 0-1 FC Orenburg | Cup |
| Aug 22, 2025 | FC Orenburg 2-2 Akhmat | Premier League |
| Aug 13, 2025 | FC Orenburg 2-1 Akhmat | Cup |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Akhmat 1-0 FC Orenburg | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Akhmat vs FC Orenburg on Oct 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Orenburg score 1.6 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Akhmat score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Orenburg | 1.6 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Akhmat | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Orenburg sit 6th in Premier League (16 points from 12 matches) and Akhmat sit 14th (11 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | FC Orenburg | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 16 |
| 14 | Akhmat | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 11 |
A question about FC Orenburg vs Akhmat?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Orenburg vs Akhmat?
- The Footlab AI model makes FC Orenburg the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Akhmat.
- Where and when is FC Orenburg vs Akhmat played?
- FC Orenburg vs Akhmat is played on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Gazovik, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.