CSKA Moscow vs FC Orenburg: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)VEB Arena, Moskva
The Footlab model makes CSKA Moscow the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for FC Orenburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CSKA Moscow vs FC Orenburg?
CSKA Moscow starts as the favourite with a 170-point Elo edge (2,015 vs 1,845).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CSKA Moscow have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; FC Orenburg have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lokomotiv(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Akron(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fakel(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Rostov(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Lokomotiv(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Fakel(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Rodina Moskva(away) | 4-1 | Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Lokomotiv(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rubin(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Spartak Moscow(away) | 1-5 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 CSKA Moscow win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 FC Orenburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | CSKA Moscow 2-0 FC Orenburg | Premier League |
| Jul 21, 2025 | FC Orenburg 0-0 CSKA Moscow | Premier League |
| Apr 12, 2025 | FC Orenburg 0-2 CSKA Moscow | Premier League |
| Aug 4, 2024 | CSKA Moscow 5-1 FC Orenburg | Premier League |
| Mar 2, 2024 | CSKA Moscow 1-1 FC Orenburg | Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2023 | CSKA Moscow 3-1 FC Orenburg | Cup |
Last archived meeting: CSKA Moscow vs FC Orenburg on Nov 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
CSKA Moscow score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; FC Orenburg score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Moscow | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| FC Orenburg | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CSKA Moscow sit 3rd in Premier League (11 points from 5 matches) and FC Orenburg sit 9th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 9 | FC Orenburg | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CSKA Moscow vs FC Orenburg?
- The Footlab model makes CSKA Moscow the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for FC Orenburg.
- Where and when is CSKA Moscow vs FC Orenburg played?
- CSKA Moscow vs FC Orenburg is played on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at VEB Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.