Lokomotiv vs Fakel: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)RZD Arena, Moskva
The Footlab AI model makes Lokomotiv the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Fakel. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lokomotiv wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,599 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lokomotiv vs Fakel?
On Elo ratings, Lokomotiv has 1,922 points and Fakel 1,826.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lokomotiv vs Fakel
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lokomotiv
4-2-3-1- 27N. Komlichenko
- 18N. Titkov
- 77A. Mostovoy
- 7Z. Bakaev
- 19A. Rudenko
- 6S. Babkin
- 24M. Nenakhov
- 45A. Siljanov
- 85E. Morozov
- 47D. Godyaev
- 1A. Mitryushkin
Fakel
5-3-2- 19B. Pusi
- 90A. Koksharov
- 23V. Yakimov
- 8A. Bagamaev
- 97B. Magomedov
- 40Clayton
- 53M. Bardachev
- 10I. Alshin
- 17A. Kovalev
- 5A. Gabaraev
- 96I. Obukhov
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 04:45 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lokomotiv have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Fakel have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Spartak Moscow(home) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2026 | CSKA Moscow(away) | 1-3 | Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | FC Rostov(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | FC Krasnodar(home) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Akron(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Rubin(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Akhmat(home) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Rodina Moskva(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | FC Krasnodar(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Lokomotiv wins, 0 draws, 0 Fakel wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Fakel 0-5 Lokomotiv | Premier League |
| May 11, 2025 | Fakel 0-1 Lokomotiv | Premier League |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Lokomotiv 2-1 Fakel | Premier League |
| May 18, 2024 | Lokomotiv 2-0 Fakel | Premier League |
| Jul 30, 2023 | Fakel 1-4 Lokomotiv | Premier League |
| May 20, 2023 | Lokomotiv 1-0 Fakel | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Lokomotiv score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Fakel score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv | 1.2 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Fakel | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lokomotiv sit 14th in Premier League (11 points from 13 matches) and Fakel sit 16th (6 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Lokomotiv | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 20 | 11 |
| 16 | Fakel | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 6 |
A question about Lokomotiv vs Fakel?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lokomotiv vs Fakel?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lokomotiv the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Fakel.
- Where and when is Lokomotiv vs Fakel played?
- Lokomotiv vs Fakel is played on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at RZD Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.