Match

FC Rostov vs Rodina Moskva: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueMatchday 21Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Rostov Arena, Rostov-na-Donu

FC RostovRodina Moskva

The Footlab AI model makes FC Rostov the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Rodina Moskva. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC Rostov wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,430 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Rostov vs Rodina Moskva?

FC Rostov starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,955 vs 1,851).

51%26%23%
FC Rostov winDrawRodina Moskva win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for FC Rostov vs Rodina Moskva

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

FC Rostov

4-3-3
  1. 99T. Suleymanov
  2. 6O. Olusegun
  3. 7Ronaldo
  1. 27D. Prokhin
  2. 18K. Kuchaev
  3. 8A. Mironov
  1. 3O. Sako
  2. 87A. Langovich
  3. 4V. Melekhin
  4. 40Ygor Nogueira
  1. 84A. Petrov

Rodina Moskva

5-4-1
  1. 7G. Onugkha
  1. 5A. Egorychev
  2. 10Y. Reyna
  3. 18M. Abdusalamov
  4. 17S. Bakaev
  1. 20D. Machado
  2. 2Igor Silva
  3. 50Rodrigo Becão
  4. 38L. Musaev
  5. 75M. Nadé
  1. 13S. Volkov

Computed on November 11, 2026 at 03:53 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Rostov have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Rodina Moskva have 3, 2 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Rostov
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Zenit(away)2-2Premier League
Nov 1, 2026Dinamo Makhachkala(away)3-0Premier League
Oct 28, 2026Akron(home)6-1Cup
Oct 25, 2026Lokomotiv(home)2-0Premier League
Oct 18, 2026Baltika(away)0-0Premier League
Rodina Moskva
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Akhmat(away)0-1Premier League
Oct 31, 2026FC Krasnodar(home)2-1Premier League
Oct 28, 2026FC Orenburg(away)1-2Cup
Oct 24, 2026Fakel(away)1-0Premier League
Oct 19, 2026FC Orenburg(home)2-2Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 FC Rostov wins, 0 draws, 2 Rodina Moskva wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 31, 2026Rodina Moskva 2-4 FC RostovPremier League
Feb 1, 2026FC Rostov 0-1 Rodina MoskvaFriendlies Clubs
Jan 19, 2025FC Rostov 3-2 Rodina MoskvaFriendlies Clubs
Jan 23, 2024Rodina Moskva 2-1 FC RostovFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Rodina Moskva vs FC Rostov on Jul 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Rostov score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Rodina Moskva score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Rostov1.51.365/158/15
Rodina Moskva1.12.1110/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Rostov sit 6th in Premier League (19 points from 14 matches) and Rodina Moskva sit 13th (12 points from 14 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6FC Rostov14545181919
13Rodina Moskva14338152912

A question about FC Rostov vs Rodina Moskva?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Rostov vs Rodina Moskva?
The Footlab AI model makes FC Rostov the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Rodina Moskva.
Where and when is FC Rostov vs Rodina Moskva played?
FC Rostov vs Rodina Moskva is played on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Rostov Arena, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: FC Rostov and Rodina Moskva