Rubin vs Spartak Moscow: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ak Bars Arena, Kazan'
The Footlab model makes Spartak Moscow the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Rubin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rubin vs Spartak Moscow?
Spartak Moscow starts as the favourite with a 169-point Elo edge (2,099 vs 1,929).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rubin have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Spartak Moscow have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Baltika(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Spartak Moscow(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Rostov(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Orenburg(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Rodina Moskva(away) | 0-5 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Zenit(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Rubin(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Baltika(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Krasnodar(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | FC Orenburg(home) | 5-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Rubin win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Spartak Moscow win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Rubin 1-1 Spartak Moscow | Cup |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Spartak Moscow 0-0 Rubin | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 11, 2026 | Spartak Moscow 2-1 Rubin | Premier League |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Rubin 0-2 Spartak Moscow | Premier League |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Rubin 2-1 Spartak Moscow | Premier League |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Spartak Moscow 1-0 Rubin | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Rubin vs Spartak Moscow on Aug 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rubin score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Spartak Moscow score 1.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rubin | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| Spartak Moscow | 1.6 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rubin sit 8th in Premier League (6 points from 5 matches) and Spartak Moscow sit 2nd (12 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spartak Moscow | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 12 |
| 8 | Rubin | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rubin vs Spartak Moscow?
- The Footlab model makes Spartak Moscow the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Rubin.
- Where and when is Rubin vs Spartak Moscow played?
- Rubin vs Spartak Moscow is played on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ak Bars Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.