Match

Rubin vs Spartak Moscow: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ak Bars Arena, Kazan'

RubinSpartak Moscow

The Footlab AI model makes Spartak Moscow the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Rubin. The most likely score is 1-1. If Spartak Moscow wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,966 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Rubin vs Spartak Moscow?

Spartak Moscow starts as the favourite with a 210-point Elo edge (2,087 vs 1,877).

25%28%47%
Rubin winDrawSpartak Moscow win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Rubin vs Spartak Moscow

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Rubin

5-4-1
  1. 10E. Salcedo
  1. 6U. Iwu
  2. 22V. Hodža
  3. 14I. Saavedra
  4. 7U. Babaev
  1. 12A. Arroyo
  2. 5I. Vujačić
  3. 2E. Teslenko
  4. 98N. Lobov
  5. 71I. Samoshnikov
  1. 38E. Staver

Spartak Moscow

4-1-4-1
  1. 9M. Ugalde
  1. 18N. Umyarov
  2. 7P. Solari
  3. 5E. Barco
  4. 68R. Litvinov
  5. 10Marquinhos
  1. 47R. Zobnin
  2. 6S. Babić
  3. 3C. Wooh
  4. 27I. Dmitriev
  1. 98A. Maksimenko

Computed on November 8, 2026 at 11:56 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rubin have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Spartak Moscow have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Rubin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 6, 2026Lokomotiv(away)1-0Premier League
Oct 31, 2026Fakel(home)1-0Premier League
Oct 28, 2026Spartak Moscow(away)0-1Cup
Oct 24, 2026Krylia Sovetov(home)0-2Premier League
Oct 18, 2026Spartak Moscow(away)0-4Premier League
Spartak Moscow
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Lokomotiv(away)4-0Premier League
Oct 28, 2026Rubin(home)1-0Cup
Oct 25, 2026CSKA Moscow(away)0-2Premier League
Oct 18, 2026Rubin(home)4-0Premier League
Oct 15, 2026Rodina Moskva(away)4-2Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Rubin wins, 2 draws, 4 Spartak Moscow wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 28, 2026Spartak Moscow 1-0 RubinCup
Oct 18, 2026Spartak Moscow 4-0 RubinPremier League
Aug 19, 2026Rubin 1-1 Spartak MoscowCup
Jul 8, 2026Spartak Moscow 0-0 RubinFriendlies Clubs
May 11, 2026Spartak Moscow 2-1 RubinPremier League
Aug 23, 2025Rubin 0-2 Spartak MoscowPremier League

Last archived meeting: Spartak Moscow vs Rubin on Oct 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Rubin score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Spartak Moscow score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Rubin0.91.329/153/15
Spartak Moscow1.90.968/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Rubin sit 7th in Premier League (18 points from 14 matches) and Spartak Moscow sit 5th (26 points from 13 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Spartak Moscow13823251026
7Rubin14464141818

A question about Rubin vs Spartak Moscow?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Rubin vs Spartak Moscow?
The Footlab AI model makes Spartak Moscow the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Rubin.
Where and when is Rubin vs Spartak Moscow played?
Rubin vs Spartak Moscow is played on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ak Bars Arena, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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