Baltika vs Akhmat: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Rostec Arena, Kaliningrad
The Footlab AI model makes Baltika the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Akhmat. The most likely score is 1-1. If Baltika wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Baltika vs Akhmat?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Baltika (1,981) and Akhmat (1,894).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Baltika vs Akhmat
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Baltika
5-4-1- 91B. Gil
- 73M. Petrov
- 8A. Mendel
- 10I. Petrov
- 7K. Shiltsov
- 2S. Varatynov
- 22M. Beveev
- 4N. Gassama
- 24L. Mouyokolo
- 21E. Anderson
- 1E. Latyshonok
Akhmat
4-2-3-1- 13M. Konaté
- 18Júlio Romão
- 7L. Sadulaev
- 17Egas Cacintura
- 11Ismael Silva Lima
- 20M. Samorodov
- 8M. Bogosavac
- 5K. Cake
- 6K. Sidibé
- 95A. Adamov
- 1V. Ulyanov
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 09:32 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baltika have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Akhmat have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Akhmat(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Zenit(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Fakel(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Lokomotiv(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Dynamo(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Baltika(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Akron(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Dinamo Makhachkala(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Rubin(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Baltika wins, 3 draws, 0 Akhmat wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Akhmat 0-0 Baltika | Premier League |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Akhmat 1-1 Baltika | Premier League |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Baltika 2-2 Akhmat | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Baltika 2-0 Akhmat | Premier League |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Akhmat 1-7 Baltika | Premier League |
| Oct 31, 2023 | Baltika 4-1 Akhmat | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Baltika score 1.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Akhmat score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltika | 1.2 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Akhmat | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Baltika sit 8th in Premier League (12 points from 10 matches) and Akhmat sit 11th (11 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Baltika | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 12 |
| 11 | Akhmat | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 11 |
A question about Baltika vs Akhmat?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Baltika vs Akhmat?
- The Footlab AI model makes Baltika the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Akhmat.
- Where and when is Baltika vs Akhmat played?
- Baltika vs Akhmat is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Rostec Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.