CSKA Sofia II vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Dragalevtsi, Sofia
The Footlab model makes CSKA Sofia II the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Chernomorets 1919 Burgas. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CSKA Sofia II vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate CSKA Sofia II (1,737) and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas (1,702).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CSKA Sofia II have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Chernomorets 1919 Burgas have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hebar 1918(home) | 4-3 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Pirin Blagoevgrad(away) | 3-0 | Second League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Vihren(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hebar 1918(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | CSKA Sofia II(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vihren(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Beroe(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 CSKA Sofia II win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 0-1 CSKA Sofia II | Second League |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 3-0 CSKA Sofia II | Second League |
| Sep 6, 2025 | CSKA Sofia II 1-1 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs CSKA Sofia II on Aug 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CSKA Sofia II score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Chernomorets 1919 Burgas score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Sofia II | 1.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | 1.0 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CSKA Sofia II sit 2nd in Second League (10 points from 4 matches) and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas sit 15th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | CSKA Sofia II | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 10 |
| 15 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CSKA Sofia II vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
- The Footlab model makes CSKA Sofia II the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Chernomorets 1919 Burgas.
- Where and when is CSKA Sofia II vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas played?
- CSKA Sofia II vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas is played on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Dragalevtsi, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.