Beroe vs Fratria: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Beroe, Stara Zagora
The Footlab model makes Beroe the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Fratria. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Beroe vs Fratria?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Beroe (1,658) and Fratria (1,725).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Beroe have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Fratria have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Fratria(away) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Ludogorets II(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Hebar 1918(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Zagorets(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Beroe(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Marek(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Jul 10, 2026 | Yantra 2019(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Beroe win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Fratria win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Fratria 2-0 Beroe | Second League |
| Nov 14, 2024 | Fratria 3-3 Beroe | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Beroe score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Fratria score 1.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beroe | 1.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Fratria | 1.7 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Beroe sit 11th in Second League (6 points from 4 matches) and Fratria sit 4th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fratria | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | Beroe | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Beroe vs Fratria?
- The Footlab model makes Beroe the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Fratria.
- Where and when is Beroe vs Fratria played?
- Beroe vs Fratria is played on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Beroe, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 27, 2027NesebarvsSportist Svoge
- Feb 27, 2027CSKA Sofia IIvsChernomorets 1919 Burgas
- Feb 27, 2027Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsavsSpartak Pleven
- Feb 27, 2027Hebar 1918vsPirin Blagoevgrad
- Feb 27, 2027VihrenvsLudogorets II
- Feb 27, 2027Yantra 2019vsDobrudzha
- Feb 27, 2027MarekvsMontana
- Feb 27, 2027Rilski SportistvsEtar Veliko Tarnovo