Match

Beroe vs Fratria: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Beroe, Stara Zagora

BeroeFratria

The Footlab model makes Beroe the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Fratria. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Beroe vs Fratria?

A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Beroe (1,658) and Fratria (1,725).

Beroe win38 %
Draw29 %
Fratria win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Beroe have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Fratria have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Beroe
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 14, 2026Fratria(away)0-2Second League
Aug 10, 2026Ludogorets II(home)2-0Second League
Aug 1, 2026Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(away)0-1Second League
Jul 24, 2026Hebar 1918(home)2-1Second League
Jul 18, 2026Zagorets(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs
Fratria
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 14, 2026Beroe(home)2-0Second League
Aug 9, 2026Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away)2-0Second League
Aug 1, 2026Rilski Sportist(home)1-0Second League
Jul 25, 2026Marek(home)0-1Second League
Jul 10, 2026Yantra 2019(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Beroe win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Fratria win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 14, 2026Fratria 2-0 BeroeSecond League
Nov 14, 2024Fratria 3-3 BeroeCup

Last archived meeting: Fratria vs Beroe on Aug 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Beroe score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Fratria score 1.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Beroe1.01.156/157/15
Fratria1.70.868/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Beroe sit 11th in Second League (6 points from 4 matches) and Fratria sit 4th (9 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Fratria4301519
11Beroe4202446

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Beroe vs Fratria?
The Footlab model makes Beroe the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Fratria.
Where and when is Beroe vs Fratria played?
Beroe vs Fratria is played on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Beroe, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Beroe and Fratria

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