Hebar 1918 vs Pirin Blagoevgrad: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Georgi Benkovski, Pazardzhik
The Footlab model makes Hebar 1918 the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Pirin Blagoevgrad. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hebar 1918 vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Hebar 1918 (1,564) and Pirin Blagoevgrad (1,529).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hebar 1918 have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Pirin Blagoevgrad have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Pirin Blagoevgrad(away) | 3-2 | Second League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | CSKA Sofia II(away) | 3-4 | Second League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Vihren(home) | 2-3 | Second League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Beroe(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Nesebar(away) | 0-7 | Second League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hebar 1918(home) | 2-3 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sportist Svoge(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | CSKA Sofia II(home) | 0-3 | Second League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dobrudzha(away) | 1-5 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Hebar 1918 win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Pirin Blagoevgrad win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Pirin Blagoevgrad 2-3 Hebar 1918 | Second League |
| Apr 16, 2026 | Pirin Blagoevgrad 2-2 Hebar 1918 | Second League |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Hebar 1918 4-2 Pirin Blagoevgrad | Second League |
| May 21, 2024 | Pirin Blagoevgrad 0-0 Hebar 1918 | First League |
| Mar 11, 2024 | Pirin Blagoevgrad 1-1 Hebar 1918 | First League |
| Feb 28, 2024 | Hebar 1918 2-1 Pirin Blagoevgrad | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Hebar 1918 on Aug 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hebar 1918 score 1.4 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Pirin Blagoevgrad score 0.8 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hebar 1918 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Pirin Blagoevgrad | 0.8 | 2.1 | 4 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hebar 1918 sit 13th in Second League (6 points from 5 matches) and Pirin Blagoevgrad sit 18th (0 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hebar 1918 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 6 |
| 18 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hebar 1918 vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
- The Footlab model makes Hebar 1918 the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Pirin Blagoevgrad.
- Where and when is Hebar 1918 vs Pirin Blagoevgrad played?
- Hebar 1918 vs Pirin Blagoevgrad is played on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Georgi Benkovski, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 27, 2027BeroevsFratria
- Feb 27, 2027NesebarvsSportist Svoge
- Feb 27, 2027CSKA Sofia IIvsChernomorets 1919 Burgas
- Feb 27, 2027Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsavsSpartak Pleven
- Feb 27, 2027VihrenvsLudogorets II
- Feb 27, 2027Yantra 2019vsDobrudzha
- Feb 27, 2027MarekvsMontana
- Feb 27, 2027Rilski SportistvsEtar Veliko Tarnovo