Match

CSKA Sofia II vs Marek: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 31Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Dragalevtsi, Sofia

CSKA Sofia IIMarek

The Footlab model makes CSKA Sofia II the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Marek. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win CSKA Sofia II vs Marek?

A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate CSKA Sofia II (1,736) and Marek (1,644).

CSKA Sofia II win63 %
Draw23 %
Marek win14 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CSKA Sofia II have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Marek have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

CSKA Sofia II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Ludogorets II(home)1-1Second League
Aug 17, 2026Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(away)1-0Second League
Aug 11, 2026Hebar 1918(home)4-3Second League
Aug 3, 2026Pirin Blagoevgrad(away)3-0Second League
Jul 28, 2026Vihren(away)1-1Second League
Marek
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Dobrudzha(home)4-2Second League
Aug 16, 2026Montana(away)0-1Second League
Aug 7, 2026Etar Veliko Tarnovo(away)0-1Second League
Aug 1, 2026Spartak Pleven(away)1-2Second League
Jul 25, 2026Fratria(away)1-0Second League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 CSKA Sofia II win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Marek win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 5, 2026CSKA Sofia II 0-1 MarekSecond League
Sep 28, 2025Marek 1-1 CSKA Sofia IISecond League
May 7, 2025Marek 1-0 CSKA Sofia IISecond League
Nov 11, 2024CSKA Sofia II 1-2 MarekSecond League
May 6, 2023Marek 2-2 CSKA Sofia IIThird League - Southwest
Mar 31, 2023CSKA Sofia II 0-0 MarekThird League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: CSKA Sofia II vs Marek on Apr 5, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

CSKA Sofia II score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Marek score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
CSKA Sofia II1.90.967/157/15
Marek1.00.974/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

CSKA Sofia II sit 1st in Second League (11 points from 5 matches) and Marek sit 12th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1CSKA Sofia II532010511
12Marek5203666

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for CSKA Sofia II vs Marek?
The Footlab model makes CSKA Sofia II the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Marek.
Where and when is CSKA Sofia II vs Marek played?
CSKA Sofia II vs Marek is played on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Dragalevtsi, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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