Marek vs Hebar 1918: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Bonchuk, Dupnitsa
The Footlab model makes Marek the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Hebar 1918. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marek vs Hebar 1918?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Marek (1,644) and Hebar 1918 (1,564).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marek have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Hebar 1918 have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Dobrudzha(home) | 4-2 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Montana(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Spartak Pleven(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Fratria(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Pirin Blagoevgrad(away) | 3-2 | Second League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | CSKA Sofia II(away) | 3-4 | Second League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Vihren(home) | 2-3 | Second League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Beroe(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Marek win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Hebar 1918 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Hebar 1918 1-1 Marek | Second League |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Marek 2-0 Hebar 1918 | Second League |
| May 14, 2022 | Hebar 1918 3-0 Marek | Second League |
| Nov 19, 2021 | Marek 2-0 Hebar 1918 | Second League |
| Apr 20, 2019 | Hebar 1918 3-1 Marek | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 20, 2018 | Marek 0-1 Hebar 1918 | Third League - Southwest |
How many goals should we expect?
Marek score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hebar 1918 score 1.4 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marek | 1.0 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Hebar 1918 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marek sit 12th in Second League (6 points from 5 matches) and Hebar 1918 sit 13th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Marek | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 13 | Hebar 1918 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marek vs Hebar 1918?
- The Footlab model makes Marek the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Hebar 1918.
- Where and when is Marek vs Hebar 1918 played?
- Marek vs Hebar 1918 is played on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Bonchuk, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 15, 2027NesebarvsLudogorets II
- May 15, 2027Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsavsVihren
- May 15, 2027MontanavsEtar Veliko Tarnovo
- May 15, 2027DobrudzhavsSpartak Pleven
- May 15, 2027Pirin BlagoevgradvsBeroe
- May 15, 2027Yantra 2019vsChernomorets 1919 Burgas
- May 15, 2027Rilski SportistvsCSKA Sofia II
- May 15, 2027Sportist SvogevsFratria