Match

Marek vs Hebar 1918: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Bonchuk, Dupnitsa

MarekHebar 1918

The Footlab model makes Marek the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Hebar 1918. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Marek vs Hebar 1918?

A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Marek (1,644) and Hebar 1918 (1,564).

Marek win50 %
Draw25 %
Hebar 1918 win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marek have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Hebar 1918 have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Marek
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Dobrudzha(home)4-2Second League
Aug 16, 2026Montana(away)0-1Second League
Aug 7, 2026Etar Veliko Tarnovo(away)0-1Second League
Aug 1, 2026Spartak Pleven(away)1-2Second League
Jul 25, 2026Fratria(away)1-0Second League
Hebar 1918
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(home)1-0Second League
Aug 18, 2026Pirin Blagoevgrad(away)3-2Second League
Aug 11, 2026CSKA Sofia II(away)3-4Second League
Aug 2, 2026Vihren(home)2-3Second League
Jul 24, 2026Beroe(away)1-2Second League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Marek win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Hebar 1918 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 15, 2026Hebar 1918 1-1 MarekSecond League
Nov 16, 2025Marek 2-0 Hebar 1918Second League
May 14, 2022Hebar 1918 3-0 MarekSecond League
Nov 19, 2021Marek 2-0 Hebar 1918Second League
Apr 20, 2019Hebar 1918 3-1 MarekThird League - Southwest
Oct 20, 2018Marek 0-1 Hebar 1918Third League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Hebar 1918 vs Marek on May 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Marek score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hebar 1918 score 1.4 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Marek1.00.974/156/15
Hebar 19181.41.8310/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Marek sit 12th in Second League (6 points from 5 matches) and Hebar 1918 sit 13th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Marek5203666
13Hebar 1918520310116

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Marek vs Hebar 1918?
The Footlab model makes Marek the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Hebar 1918.
Where and when is Marek vs Hebar 1918 played?
Marek vs Hebar 1918 is played on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Bonchuk, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Marek and Hebar 1918

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