Marek vs Hebar 1918: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Bonchuk, Dupnitsa
The Footlab AI model makes Marek the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Hebar 1918. The most likely score is 1-1. If Marek wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marek vs Hebar 1918?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Marek (1,612) and Hebar 1918 (1,592).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Marek vs Hebar 1918
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Marek
4-3-3- 10N. Ganchev
- 19Dimitar Goranov
- 11M. Miletić
- 16S. Mechev
- 90P. Georgiev
- 88E. George
- 23E. Viyachki
- 3M. Petkov
- 33D. Kirilov
- 2Nikolay Plyakov
- 21K. Kostadinov
Hebar 1918
4-3-3- 19Y. Roemer
- 7K. Pavlov
- 98I. Mihaylov
- 33I. Tilev
- 96D. Sadetinov
- 84S. Tisovski
- 4S. Tsonkov
- 55M. Mihaylov
- 6M. Georgiev
- 17C. Cabo
- 1B. Gruev
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 09:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marek have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Hebar 1918 have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Beroe(home) | 3-2 | Second League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Chavdar Troyan(away) | 4-0 | Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(home) | 1-3 | Second League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Pirin Blagoevgrad(home) | 3-0 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sportist Svoge(away) | 3-1 | Second League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Yambol 1915(away) | 5-0 | Cup |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Dobrudzha(home) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Montana(away) | 5-0 | Second League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo(home) | 4-1 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Marek wins, 1 draw, 3 Hebar 1918 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Hebar 1918 1-1 Marek | Second League |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Marek 2-0 Hebar 1918 | Second League |
| May 14, 2022 | Hebar 1918 3-0 Marek | Second League |
| Nov 19, 2021 | Marek 2-0 Hebar 1918 | Second League |
| Apr 20, 2019 | Hebar 1918 3-1 Marek | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 20, 2018 | Marek 0-1 Hebar 1918 | Third League - Southwest |
How many goals should we expect?
Marek score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hebar 1918 score 2.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marek | 1.2 | 1.3 | 6 | 4/15 | 9/15 |
| Hebar 1918 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marek sit 12th in Second League (17 points from 12 matches) and Hebar 1918 sit 10th (17 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hebar 1918 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 17 |
| 12 | Marek | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 17 |
A question about Marek vs Hebar 1918?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marek vs Hebar 1918?
- The Footlab AI model makes Marek the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Hebar 1918.
- Where and when is Marek vs Hebar 1918 played?
- Marek vs Hebar 1918 is played on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Bonchuk, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 15, 2027NesebarvsLudogorets II
- May 15, 2027Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsavsVihren
- May 15, 2027MontanavsEtar Veliko Tarnovo
- May 15, 2027DobrudzhavsSpartak Pleven
- May 15, 2027Pirin BlagoevgradvsBeroe
- May 15, 2027Yantra 2019vsChernomorets 1919 Burgas
- May 15, 2027Rilski SportistvsCSKA Sofia II
- May 15, 2027Sportist SvogevsFratria