Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Pirin Blagoevgrad: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 31Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Ivailo, Veliko Târnovo
The Footlab model makes Etar Veliko Tarnovo the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Pirin Blagoevgrad. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
Etar Veliko Tarnovo starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,652 vs 1,530).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Etar Veliko Tarnovo have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Pirin Blagoevgrad have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Marek(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Yantra 2019(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Nesebar(away) | 5-1 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Nesebar(away) | 0-7 | Second League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hebar 1918(home) | 2-3 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sportist Svoge(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | CSKA Sofia II(home) | 0-3 | Second League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dobrudzha(away) | 1-5 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Etar Veliko Tarnovo win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Pirin Blagoevgrad win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo 3-2 Pirin Blagoevgrad | Second League |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Pirin Blagoevgrad 1-1 Etar Veliko Tarnovo | Second League |
| Mar 6, 2025 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo 2-0 Pirin Blagoevgrad | Second League |
| Aug 27, 2024 | Pirin Blagoevgrad 4-1 Etar Veliko Tarnovo | Second League |
| May 17, 2024 | Pirin Blagoevgrad 2-2 Etar Veliko Tarnovo | First League |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Pirin Blagoevgrad 2-1 Etar Veliko Tarnovo | First League |
Last archived meeting: Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Pirin Blagoevgrad on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Etar Veliko Tarnovo score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Pirin Blagoevgrad score 0.8 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Pirin Blagoevgrad | 0.8 | 2.1 | 4 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Etar Veliko Tarnovo sit 2nd in Second League (10 points from 5 matches) and Pirin Blagoevgrad sit 18th (0 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 18 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
- The Footlab model makes Etar Veliko Tarnovo the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Pirin Blagoevgrad.
- Where and when is Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Pirin Blagoevgrad played?
- Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Pirin Blagoevgrad is played on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Ivailo, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.