CSKA Sofia vs Trabzonspor: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa Conference LeagueLeague Stage - 4Kick-off on November 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Bâlgarska Armija, Sofia
The Footlab AI model makes Trabzonspor the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for CSKA Sofia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Trabzonspor wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CSKA Sofia vs Trabzonspor?
Trabzonspor starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (2,049 vs 1,944).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for CSKA Sofia vs Trabzonspor
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
CSKA Sofia
4-4-2- 28I. Pittas
- 10J. Zwarts
- 7M. Ebong
- 8S. Sensi
- 6Bruno Jordão
- 99J. Eto'o
- 14T. Ivanov
- 17Á. Martino
- 2Pastor
- 32Facundo Santiago Rodríguez
- 21F. Lapoukhov
Trabzonspor
4-2-3-1- 9Franculino Djú
- 6Fabinho
- 10Mohamed Salah
- 7E. Muçi
- 57M. Kabasakal
- 58A. Şimşir
- 15S. Savić
- 19M. Eskihellaç
- 27C. Nwaiwu
- 20Wagner Pina
- 24A. Onana
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CSKA Sofia have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Trabzonspor have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | CSKA 1948(away) | 3-2 | First League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali(home) | 4-1 | First League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Levski Sofia(away) | 4-2 | Super Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Samsunspor(away) | 3-0 | Süper Lig |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Drogheda United(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Galatasaray(home) | 4-0 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Konyaspor(away) | 0-1 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Gençlerbirliği S.K.(home) | 5-0 | Süper Lig |
How many goals should we expect?
CSKA Sofia score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Trabzonspor score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Sofia | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Trabzonspor | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about CSKA Sofia vs Trabzonspor?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CSKA Sofia vs Trabzonspor?
- The Footlab AI model makes Trabzonspor the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for CSKA Sofia.
- Where and when is CSKA Sofia vs Trabzonspor played?
- CSKA Sofia vs Trabzonspor is played on November 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Bâlgarska Armija, in the UEFA Europa Conference League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.