Cukaricki vs Macva: prediction and stats
Super LigaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion na Banovom brdu, Beograd
The Footlab model makes Cukaricki the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Macva. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cukaricki vs Macva?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Cukaricki (1,737) and Macva (1,666).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cukaricki have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Macva have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FK Crvena Zvezda(away) | 0-4 | Super Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | OFK Beograd(home) | 2-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Mladost Lucani(away) | 2-2 | Super Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Radnicki 1923(home) | 3-0 | Super Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Radnicki NIS(away) | 2-0 | Super Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Radnicki NIS(home) | 1-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Radnik Surdulica(away) | 1-2 | Super Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | IMT Novi Beograd(home) | 1-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Vojvodina(away) | 0-2 | Super Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | FK Partizan(home) | 1-3 | Super Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Cukaricki win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Macva win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2021 | Macva 1-2 Cukaricki | Super Liga |
| Sep 26, 2020 | Cukaricki 4-0 Macva | Super Liga |
| Jun 20, 2020 | Cukaricki 3-1 Macva | Super Liga |
| Nov 3, 2019 | Macva 0-0 Cukaricki | Super Liga |
| Dec 1, 2018 | Macva 1-0 Cukaricki | Super Liga |
| Aug 3, 2018 | Cukaricki 1-0 Macva | Super Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Cukaricki score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Macva score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cukaricki | 1.3 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Macva | 0.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cukaricki sit 5th in Super Liga (10 points from 6 matches) and Macva sit 10th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cukaricki | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | Macva | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cukaricki vs Macva?
- The Footlab model makes Cukaricki the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Macva.
- Where and when is Cukaricki vs Macva played?
- Cukaricki vs Macva is played on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion na Banovom brdu, in the Super Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.