Zemun vs Železničar Pančevo: prediction and stats
Super LigaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion u Gornjoj Varoši, Zemun
The Footlab model makes Železničar Pančevo the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Zemun. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zemun vs Železničar Pančevo?
Železničar Pančevo starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,749 vs 1,630).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zemun have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Železničar Pančevo have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | OFK Beograd(away) | 0-1 | Super Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Mladost Lucani(home) | 0-1 | Super Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Radnicki 1923(away) | 0-3 | Super Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Radnicki NIS(home) | 0-1 | Super Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | IMT Novi Beograd(away) | 0-4 | Super Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vojvodina(away) | 0-1 | Super Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | OFK Beograd(away) | 2-2 | Super Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Mladost Lucani(home) | 0-0 | Super Liga |
| Jul 30, 2026 | SC Braga(away) | 0-4 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 22, 2026 | SC Braga(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Zemun win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Železničar Pančevo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2021 | Zemun 0-2 Železničar Pančevo | Prva Liga |
| Sep 4, 2020 | Železničar Pančevo 2-0 Zemun | Prva Liga |
Last archived meeting: Zemun vs Železničar Pančevo on Mar 13, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Zemun score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Železničar Pančevo score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zemun | 0.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Železničar Pančevo | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zemun sit 14th in Super Liga (1 points from 6 matches) and Železničar Pančevo sit 11th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Železničar Pančevo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 14 | Zemun | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zemun vs Železničar Pančevo?
- The Footlab model makes Železničar Pančevo the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Zemun.
- Where and when is Zemun vs Železničar Pančevo played?
- Zemun vs Železničar Pančevo is played on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion u Gornjoj Varoši, in the Super Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.