Mladost Lucani vs OFK Beograd: prediction and stats
Super LigaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Mladost Stadium Lučani, Lučani
The Footlab model makes Mladost Lucani the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for OFK Beograd. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mladost Lucani vs OFK Beograd?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Mladost Lucani (1,682) and OFK Beograd (1,723).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mladost Lucani have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; OFK Beograd have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FK Partizan(home) | 3-1 | Super Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Zemun(away) | 1-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Cukaricki(home) | 2-2 | Super Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Železničar Pančevo(away) | 0-0 | Super Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Novi Pazar(home) | 0-0 | Super Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zemun(home) | 1-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cukaricki(away) | 0-2 | Super Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Železničar Pančevo(home) | 2-2 | Super Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Novi Pazar(away) | 4-1 | Super Liga |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Gaziantep FK(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Mladost Lucani win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 OFK Beograd win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Mladost Lucani 0-0 OFK Beograd | Super Liga |
| Aug 23, 2025 | OFK Beograd 1-1 Mladost Lucani | Super Liga |
| May 11, 2025 | OFK Beograd 1-0 Mladost Lucani | Super Liga |
| Nov 24, 2024 | OFK Beograd 0-0 Mladost Lucani | Super Liga |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Mladost Lucani 1-2 OFK Beograd | Super Liga |
Last archived meeting: Mladost Lucani vs OFK Beograd on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mladost Lucani score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; OFK Beograd score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mladost Lucani | 1.3 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| OFK Beograd | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mladost Lucani sit 4th in Super Liga (10 points from 6 matches) and OFK Beograd sit 8th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mladost Lucani | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | OFK Beograd | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mladost Lucani vs OFK Beograd?
- The Footlab model makes Mladost Lucani the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for OFK Beograd.
- Where and when is Mladost Lucani vs OFK Beograd played?
- Mladost Lucani vs OFK Beograd is played on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Mladost Stadium Lučani, in the Super Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.