IMT Novi Beograd vs Radnik Surdulica: prediction and stats
Super LigaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion FK Bežanija, Beograd
The Footlab model makes IMT Novi Beograd the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Radnik Surdulica. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win IMT Novi Beograd vs Radnik Surdulica?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate IMT Novi Beograd (1,686) and Radnik Surdulica (1,719).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, IMT Novi Beograd have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Radnik Surdulica have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Radnicki 1923(away) | 1-2 | Super Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Radnicki NIS(home) | 0-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Macva(away) | 0-1 | Super Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Gaziantep FK(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FK Partizan(away) | 2-1 | Super Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Novi Pazar(home) | 1-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Macva(home) | 2-1 | Super Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vojvodina(away) | 1-2 | Super Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | OFK Beograd(away) | 0-0 | Super Liga |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Mladost Lucani(home) | 1-1 | Super Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 IMT Novi Beograd win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Radnik Surdulica win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | IMT Novi Beograd 0-0 Radnik Surdulica | Super Liga |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Radnik Surdulica 0-1 IMT Novi Beograd | Cup |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Radnik Surdulica 2-0 IMT Novi Beograd | Super Liga |
| May 1, 2024 | IMT Novi Beograd 5-2 Radnik Surdulica | Super Liga |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Radnik Surdulica 0-1 IMT Novi Beograd | Super Liga |
| Oct 6, 2023 | IMT Novi Beograd 1-1 Radnik Surdulica | Super Liga |
Last archived meeting: IMT Novi Beograd vs Radnik Surdulica on Mar 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
IMT Novi Beograd score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Radnik Surdulica score 0.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IMT Novi Beograd | 1.1 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Radnik Surdulica | 0.9 | 1.6 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
IMT Novi Beograd sit 3rd in Super Liga (10 points from 6 matches) and Radnik Surdulica sit 7th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | IMT Novi Beograd | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 7 | Radnik Surdulica | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for IMT Novi Beograd vs Radnik Surdulica?
- The Footlab model makes IMT Novi Beograd the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Radnik Surdulica.
- Where and when is IMT Novi Beograd vs Radnik Surdulica played?
- IMT Novi Beograd vs Radnik Surdulica is played on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion FK Bežanija, in the Super Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.