FK Partizan vs Novi Pazar: prediction and stats
Super LigaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Partizana, Beograd
The Footlab model makes FK Partizan the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Novi Pazar. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FK Partizan vs Novi Pazar?
FK Partizan starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,816 vs 1,697).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FK Partizan have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Novi Pazar have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Mladost Lucani(away) | 1-3 | Super Liga |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Getafe(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Radnicki 1923(home) | 0-1 | Super Liga |
| Aug 13, 2026 | FK Tobol Kostanay(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | FK Tobol Kostanay(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Radnik Surdulica(away) | 0-1 | Super Liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Vojvodina(home) | 2-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FK Crvena Zvezda(away) | 0-2 | Super Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | OFK Beograd(home) | 1-4 | Super Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Mladost Lucani(away) | 0-0 | Super Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 FK Partizan win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Novi Pazar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | FK Partizan 2-1 Novi Pazar | Super Liga |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Novi Pazar 2-3 FK Partizan | Super Liga |
| Nov 9, 2025 | FK Partizan 2-0 Novi Pazar | Super Liga |
| May 4, 2025 | Novi Pazar 2-1 FK Partizan | Super Liga |
| Mar 8, 2025 | FK Partizan 3-2 Novi Pazar | Super Liga |
| Oct 21, 2024 | Novi Pazar 3-4 FK Partizan | Super Liga |
Last archived meeting: FK Partizan vs Novi Pazar on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FK Partizan score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Novi Pazar score 1.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Partizan | 1.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Novi Pazar | 1.0 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FK Partizan sit 12th in Super Liga (4 points from 5 matches) and Novi Pazar sit 9th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Novi Pazar | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
| 12 | FK Partizan | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FK Partizan vs Novi Pazar?
- The Footlab model makes FK Partizan the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Novi Pazar.
- Where and when is FK Partizan vs Novi Pazar played?
- FK Partizan vs Novi Pazar is played on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Partizana, in the Super Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.