Match

Cultural Leonesa vs CD Coria: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 5Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Reino de León, León

Cultural LeonesaCD Coria

The Footlab model makes CD Coria the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Cultural Leonesa. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cultural Leonesa vs CD Coria?

CD Coria starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,956 vs 1,836).

Cultural Leonesa win33 %
Draw29 %
CD Coria win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cultural Leonesa have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; CD Coria have 10, 3 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cultural Leonesa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Atlético Astorga(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026Salamanca UDS(home)5-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Burgos(away)0-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 5, 2026Real Avilés(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Athletic Club II(away)0-2Friendlies Clubs
CD Coria
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 14, 2026Extremadura 1924(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 11, 2026Unionistas de Salamanca(away)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026Valladolid(away)1-4Friendlies Clubs
May 31, 2026Real Oviedo II(away)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 24, 2026Real Oviedo II(home)3-0Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs

How many goals should we expect?

Cultural Leonesa score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; CD Coria score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cultural Leonesa1.11.239/156/15
CD Coria1.91.186/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cultural Leonesa vs CD Coria?
The Footlab model makes CD Coria the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Cultural Leonesa.
Where and when is Cultural Leonesa vs CD Coria played?
Cultural Leonesa vs CD Coria is played on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Reino de León, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Cultural Leonesa and CD Coria

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