Arenas Getxo vs Athletic Club II: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 5Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Gobela, Getxo
The Footlab model makes Arenas Getxo the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Athletic Club II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arenas Getxo vs Athletic Club II?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Arenas Getxo (1,903) and Athletic Club II (1,900).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arenas Getxo have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Athletic Club II have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Laredo(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Eibar(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Zamora(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Real Madrid II(away) | 3-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | Racing Ferrol(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Laredo(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Amorebieta(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Sestao River(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Ponferradina(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Arenas Getxo win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Athletic Club II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Athletic Club II 1-1 Arenas Getxo | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Arenas Getxo 3-1 Athletic Club II | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Aug 13, 2025 | Athletic Club II 1-0 Arenas Getxo | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Athletic Club II 2-1 Arenas Getxo | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Arenas Getxo 0-3 Athletic Club II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Jan 16, 2021 | Athletic Club II 1-1 Arenas Getxo | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Athletic Club II vs Arenas Getxo on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Arenas Getxo score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Athletic Club II score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arenas Getxo | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Athletic Club II | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arenas Getxo sit 11th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (52 points from 38 matches) and Athletic Club II sit 13th (49 points from 38 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Arenas Getxo | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 46 | 55 | 52 |
| 13 | Athletic Club II | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 38 | 46 | 49 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arenas Getxo vs Athletic Club II?
- The Footlab model makes Arenas Getxo the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Athletic Club II.
- Where and when is Arenas Getxo vs Athletic Club II played?
- Arenas Getxo vs Athletic Club II is played on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Gobela, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.