Match

Cumbernauld Colts vs Kilmarnock II: prediction and stats

Challenge CupGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on August 25, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Broadwood Stadium, Cumbernauld

Cumbernauld ColtsKilmarnock II

The Footlab model makes Cumbernauld Colts the favourite at 53%, against 21% for a draw and 26% for Kilmarnock II. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cumbernauld Colts vs Kilmarnock II?

A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Cumbernauld Colts (1,542) and Kilmarnock II (1,527).

Cumbernauld Colts win53 %
Draw21 %
Kilmarnock II win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cumbernauld Colts have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Kilmarnock II have 3, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cumbernauld Colts
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Dalbeattie Star(home)2-2Football League - Lowland League
Aug 15, 2026Gretna 2008(away)3-3Football League - Lowland League
Aug 11, 2026Queen of the South(away)0-4Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026Auchinleck Talbot(away)0-1Football League - Lowland League
Aug 1, 2026Renfrew(home)2-2Football League - Lowland League
Kilmarnock II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 11, 2026East Kilbride(away)3-5Challenge Cup
Nov 11, 2025Annan Athletic(away)0-6Challenge Cup
Oct 10, 2025Clyde(away)1-2Challenge Cup
Sep 23, 2025Alloa Athletic(away)0-3Challenge Cup
Sep 6, 2025Stenhousemuir(away)0-4Challenge Cup

How many goals should we expect?

Cumbernauld Colts score 2.2 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kilmarnock II score 1.7 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cumbernauld Colts2.22.1111/1513/15
Kilmarnock II1.72.717/1210/12

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cumbernauld Colts vs Kilmarnock II?
The Footlab model makes Cumbernauld Colts the favourite at 53%, against 21% for a draw and 26% for Kilmarnock II.
Where and when is Cumbernauld Colts vs Kilmarnock II played?
Cumbernauld Colts vs Kilmarnock II is played on August 25, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Broadwood Stadium, in the Challenge Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Cumbernauld Colts and Kilmarnock II

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