Santiago Wanderers vs Magallanes: prediction and stats
Primera BRegular Season - 23Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Elías Figueroa Brander, Valparaíso
The Footlab model makes Santiago Wanderers the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Magallanes. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santiago Wanderers vs Magallanes?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Santiago Wanderers (1,676) and Magallanes (1,639).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santiago Wanderers have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Magallanes have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | San Luis(away) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | D. Puerto Montt(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Antofagasta(away) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | San Marcos de Arica(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Union La Calera(home) | 0-4 | Copa Chile |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Deportes Santa Cruz(home) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rangers de Talca(away) | 3-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Cobreloa(home) | 2-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Deportes Temuco(away) | 4-3 | Primera B |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Union Espanola(home) | 3-2 | Primera B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Santiago Wanderers win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Magallanes win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Magallanes 2-3 Santiago Wanderers | Primera B |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Santiago Wanderers 1-2 Magallanes | Primera B |
| Jun 21, 2025 | Magallanes 0-0 Santiago Wanderers | Primera B |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Magallanes 2-1 Santiago Wanderers | Primera B |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Santiago Wanderers 2-3 Magallanes | Primera B |
| Aug 12, 2022 | Magallanes 0-1 Santiago Wanderers | Primera B |
Last archived meeting: Magallanes vs Santiago Wanderers on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Santiago Wanderers score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Magallanes score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Magallanes | 1.7 | 2.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santiago Wanderers sit 2nd in Primera B (35 points from 20 matches) and Magallanes sit 3rd (35 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Santiago Wanderers | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 36 | 21 | 35 |
| 3 | Magallanes | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 35 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santiago Wanderers vs Magallanes?
- The Footlab model makes Santiago Wanderers the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Magallanes.
- Where and when is Santiago Wanderers vs Magallanes played?
- Santiago Wanderers vs Magallanes is played on August 29, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Elías Figueroa Brander, in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.