Deportes Copiapo vs Antofagasta: prediction and stats
Primera BRegular Season - 23Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Luis Valenzuela Hermosilla, Copiapó
The Footlab model makes Antofagasta the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Deportes Copiapo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportes Copiapo vs Antofagasta?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Deportes Copiapo (1,647) and Antofagasta (1,736).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportes Copiapo have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Antofagasta have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Recoleta(away) | 1-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Curico Unido(home) | 4-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Deportes Iquique(away) | 0-4 | Primera B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | San Luis(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Deportes Temuco(away) | 4-1 | Primera B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Deportes Temuco(home) | 3-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Deportes Iquique(away) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Santiago Wanderers(home) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Union Espanola(away) | 3-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Union San Felipe(home) | 5-1 | Primera B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Deportes Copiapo win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Antofagasta win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Antofagasta 1-0 Deportes Copiapo | Primera B |
| Sep 15, 2025 | Deportes Copiapo 1-1 Antofagasta | Primera B |
| May 18, 2025 | Antofagasta 1-0 Deportes Copiapo | Primera B |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Antofagasta 2-1 Deportes Copiapo | Copa Chile |
| Feb 11, 2025 | Deportes Copiapo 4-0 Antofagasta | Copa Chile |
Last archived meeting: Antofagasta vs Deportes Copiapo on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportes Copiapo score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Antofagasta score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportes Copiapo | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Antofagasta | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportes Copiapo sit 10th in Primera B (30 points from 21 matches) and Antofagasta sit 4th (34 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Antofagasta | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 22 | 34 |
| 10 | Deportes Copiapo | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 31 | 31 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportes Copiapo vs Antofagasta?
- The Footlab model makes Antofagasta the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Deportes Copiapo.
- Where and when is Deportes Copiapo vs Antofagasta played?
- Deportes Copiapo vs Antofagasta is played on August 30, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Luis Valenzuela Hermosilla, in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.