Curico Unido vs Union Espanola: prediction and stats
Primera BRegular Season - 25Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Bicentenario La Granja, Curicó
The Footlab model makes Union Espanola the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Curico Unido. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Curico Unido vs Union Espanola?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Curico Unido (1,600) and Union Espanola (1,655).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Curico Unido have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Union Espanola have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Union San Felipe(home) | 2-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Deportes Copiapo(away) | 0-4 | Primera B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Deportes Santa Cruz(home) | 1-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rangers de Talca(away) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Universidad de Concepcion(away) | 3-1 | Copa Chile |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cobreloa(away) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | San Marcos de Arica(home) | 2-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 11, 2026 | D. Puerto Montt(away) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Antofagasta(home) | 0-3 | Primera B |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Magallanes(away) | 2-3 | Primera B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Curico Unido win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Union Espanola win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Union Espanola 2-0 Curico Unido | Primera B |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Union Espanola 2-2 Curico Unido | Primera División |
| Apr 18, 2023 | Curico Unido 0-1 Union Espanola | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2022 | Union Espanola 1-3 Curico Unido | Primera División |
| Feb 28, 2022 | Curico Unido 0-1 Union Espanola | Primera División |
| Oct 16, 2021 | Union Espanola 2-1 Curico Unido | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Union Espanola vs Curico Unido on May 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Curico Unido score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Union Espanola score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curico Unido | 1.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Union Espanola | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Curico Unido sit 13th in Primera B (23 points from 21 matches) and Union Espanola sit 5th (34 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Union Espanola | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 27 | 34 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 32 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Curico Unido vs Union Espanola?
- The Footlab model makes Union Espanola the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Curico Unido.
- Where and when is Curico Unido vs Union Espanola played?
- Curico Unido vs Union Espanola is played on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Bicentenario La Granja, in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.