Deportes Copiapo vs Magallanes: prediction and stats
Primera BRegular Season - 25Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Luis Valenzuela Hermosilla, Copiapó
The Footlab model makes Deportes Copiapo the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Magallanes. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportes Copiapo vs Magallanes?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Deportes Copiapo (1,647) and Magallanes (1,639).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportes Copiapo have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Magallanes have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Recoleta(away) | 1-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Curico Unido(home) | 4-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Deportes Iquique(away) | 0-4 | Primera B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | San Luis(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Deportes Temuco(away) | 4-1 | Primera B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Deportes Santa Cruz(home) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rangers de Talca(away) | 3-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Cobreloa(home) | 2-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Deportes Temuco(away) | 4-3 | Primera B |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Union Espanola(home) | 3-2 | Primera B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Deportes Copiapo win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Magallanes win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Magallanes 2-3 Deportes Copiapo | Primera B |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Deportes Copiapo 2-0 Magallanes | Primera B |
| Jul 6, 2025 | Magallanes 0-1 Deportes Copiapo | Primera B |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Deportes Copiapo 2-1 Magallanes | Primera División |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Magallanes 0-2 Deportes Copiapo | Primera División |
| Oct 20, 2022 | Deportes Copiapo 2-2 Magallanes | Primera B |
Last archived meeting: Magallanes vs Deportes Copiapo on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportes Copiapo score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Magallanes score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportes Copiapo | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Magallanes | 1.7 | 2.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportes Copiapo sit 10th in Primera B (30 points from 21 matches) and Magallanes sit 3rd (35 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Magallanes | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 35 | 35 |
| 10 | Deportes Copiapo | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 31 | 31 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportes Copiapo vs Magallanes?
- The Footlab model makes Deportes Copiapo the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Magallanes.
- Where and when is Deportes Copiapo vs Magallanes played?
- Deportes Copiapo vs Magallanes is played on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Luis Valenzuela Hermosilla, in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.