Avro vs Curzon Ashton: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 39Kick-off on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Vestacare Stadium, Oldham, Greater Manchester
The Footlab model makes Avro the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Curzon Ashton. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Avro vs Curzon Ashton?
Avro starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (1,859 vs 1,710).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avro have 12 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Curzon Ashton have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hyde United(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Workington(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alfreton Town(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(away) | 6-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Quorn(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Warrington Town(away) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | AFC Emley(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bury(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
How many goals should we expect?
Avro score 3.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Curzon Ashton score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avro | 3.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 14/15 |
| Curzon Ashton | 1.3 | 1.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Avro sit 3rd in Non League Premier - Northern (12 points from 5 matches) and Curzon Ashton sit 16th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Avro | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 12 |
| 16 | Curzon Ashton | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Avro vs Curzon Ashton?
- The Footlab model makes Avro the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Curzon Ashton.
- Where and when is Avro vs Curzon Ashton played?
- Avro vs Curzon Ashton is played on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Vestacare Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 29, 2027BuryvsUnited of Manchester
- Mar 29, 2027Guiseley AFCvsGainsborough Trinity
- Mar 29, 2027Alfreton TownvsIlkeston Town
- Mar 29, 2027WorkingtonvsStockton Town
- Mar 29, 2027Cleethorpes TownvsAFC Emley
- Mar 29, 2027Ashton UnitedvsHyde United
- Mar 29, 2027Bamber BridgevsLancaster City
- Mar 29, 2027Warrington TownvsRylands