Czarni Połaniec vs KSZO 1929: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 11Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MKS Czarni Połaniec, Połaniec
The Footlab model makes KSZO 1929 the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Czarni Połaniec. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Czarni Połaniec vs KSZO 1929?
KSZO 1929 starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (1,897 vs 1,774).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Czarni Połaniec have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; KSZO 1929 have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Korona Kielce II(away) | 4-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Star Starachowice(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Korona Kielce II(home) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Star Starachowice(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Czarni Połaniec win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 KSZO 1929 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Czarni Połaniec 0-1 KSZO 1929 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 27, 2025 | KSZO 1929 2-1 Czarni Połaniec | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Czarni Połaniec 0-2 KSZO 1929 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 10, 2024 | KSZO 1929 6-1 Czarni Połaniec | III Liga - Group 4 |
| May 15, 2024 | Czarni Połaniec 3-0 KSZO 1929 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Feb 10, 2024 | KSZO 1929 1-4 Czarni Połaniec | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Czarni Połaniec vs KSZO 1929 on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Czarni Połaniec score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; KSZO 1929 score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Czarni Połaniec | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| KSZO 1929 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Czarni Połaniec sit 5th in III Liga - Group 4 (9 points from 5 matches) and KSZO 1929 sit 3rd (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | KSZO 1929 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Czarni Połaniec | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Czarni Połaniec vs KSZO 1929?
- The Footlab model makes KSZO 1929 the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Czarni Połaniec.
- Where and when is Czarni Połaniec vs KSZO 1929 played?
- Czarni Połaniec vs KSZO 1929 is played on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MKS Czarni Połaniec, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 3, 2026Siarka TarnobrzegvsKorona Kielce II
- Oct 3, 2026Hetman ZamoscvsChełmianka Chełm
- Oct 3, 2026Podlasie Biała PodlaskavsStar Starachowice
- Oct 3, 2026Wisłoka DębicavsPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
- Oct 3, 2026JarosławvsNaprzód
- Oct 3, 2026Sokół Kolb.vsMoravia Morawica
- Oct 3, 2026KS Wieczysta Krakow IIvsWiślanie Jaśkowice
- Oct 3, 2026Busko-ZdrojvsWisła Kraków II