Match

Wisłoka Dębica vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 11Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Dębica

Wisłoka DębicaPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów

The Footlab model makes Wisłoka Dębica the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Wisłoka Dębica vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów?

A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Wisłoka Dębica (1,722) and Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów (1,634).

Wisłoka Dębica win40 %
Draw28 %
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wisłoka Dębica have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Wisłoka Dębica
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026KS Wieczysta Krakow II(home)0-3III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026Chełmianka Chełm(away)1-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 14, 2026Sokół Kolb.(away)2-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026Jarosław(home)3-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 2, 2026Busko-Zdroj(away)1-1III Liga - Group 4
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026KSZO 1929(away)0-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026Wisła Kraków II(home)1-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026Naprzód(away)1-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026Moravia Morawica(home)0-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026Chełmianka Chełm(home)0-1III Liga - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Wisłoka Dębica win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 1-2 Wisłoka DębicaIII Liga - Group 4
Sep 26, 2025Wisłoka Dębica 1-0 Pogoń-Sokół LubaczówIII Liga - Group 4
Mar 22, 2025Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 3-0 Wisłoka DębicaIII Liga - Group 4
Aug 24, 2024Wisłoka Dębica 4-1 Pogoń-Sokół LubaczówIII Liga - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Wisłoka Dębica on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Wisłoka Dębica score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Wisłoka Dębica1.31.9210/1512/15
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów1.31.5210/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Wisłoka Dębica sit 9th in III Liga - Group 4 (7 points from 5 matches) and Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów sit 18th (1 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Wisłoka Dębica5212787
18Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów5014271

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Wisłoka Dębica vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów?
The Footlab model makes Wisłoka Dębica the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów.
Where and when is Wisłoka Dębica vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów played?
Wisłoka Dębica vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów is played on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Wisłoka Dębica and Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów

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