Where and when is Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Korona Kielce II played?

Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Korona Kielce II is played on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSiR Wisła, in the III Liga - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Korona Kielce II: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 11Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSiR Wisła, Tarnobrzeg

Siarka Tarnobrzeg

Korona Kielce II

The Footlab model makes Korona Kielce II the favourite at 43%, against 22% for a draw and 35% for Siarka Tarnobrzeg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Korona Kielce II?

A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Siarka Tarnobrzeg (1,717) and Korona Kielce II (1,775).

Siarka Tarnobrzeg win35 %

Draw22 %

Korona Kielce II win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Siarka Tarnobrzeg have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Korona Kielce II have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Sokół Kolb.(away)	0-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Jarosław(home)	1-3	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026	Busko-Zdroj(away)	4-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026	Czarni Połaniec(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 2, 2026	Hetman Zamosc(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 4

Korona Kielce II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Czarni Połaniec(home)	3-4	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Hetman Zamosc(home)	2-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 14, 2026	KSZO 1929(away)	2-3	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026	Wisła Kraków II(home)	1-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026	Naprzód(away)	4-5	III Liga - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Siarka Tarnobrzeg win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Korona Kielce II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 28, 2026	Korona Kielce II 1-2 Siarka Tarnobrzeg	III Liga - Group 4
Sep 6, 2025	Siarka Tarnobrzeg 3-1 Korona Kielce II	III Liga - Group 4
Apr 12, 2025	Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1-3 Korona Kielce II	III Liga - Group 4
Oct 2, 2024	Korona Kielce II 1-3 Siarka Tarnobrzeg	III Liga - Group 4
Jun 5, 2021	Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1-2 Korona Kielce II	III Liga - Group 4
Nov 11, 2020	Korona Kielce II 4-1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg	III Liga - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Korona Kielce II vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg on Mar 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Siarka Tarnobrzeg score 1.4 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Korona Kielce II score 2.2 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1.4	2.0	1	11/15	8/15
Korona Kielce II	2.2	2.3	2	13/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Siarka Tarnobrzeg sit 16th in III Liga - Group 4 (4 points from 5 matches) and Korona Kielce II sit 17th (1 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
16	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	5	1	1	3	6	8	4
17	Korona Kielce II	5	0	1	4	12	16	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Korona Kielce II?: The Footlab model makes Korona Kielce II the favourite at 43%, against 22% for a draw and 35% for Siarka Tarnobrzeg.
Where and when is Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Korona Kielce II played?: Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Korona Kielce II is played on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSiR Wisła, in the III Liga - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.