Where and when is Jarosław vs Naprzód played?

Jarosław vs Naprzód is played on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion JKS-u, in the III Liga - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Jarosław vs Naprzód: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 11Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion JKS-u, Jarosław

Jarosław

Naprzód

The Footlab model makes Jarosław the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Naprzód. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Jarosław vs Naprzód?

A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Jarosław (1,747) and Naprzód (1,688).

Jarosław win49 %

Draw24 %

Naprzód win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Jarosław have 7 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Naprzód have 5, 1 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Jarosław
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Podlasie Biała Podlaska(home)	2-0	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Siarka Tarnobrzeg(away)	3-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026	KS Wieczysta Krakow II(home)	1-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026	Wisłoka Dębica(away)	1-3	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026	Sokół Kolb.(home)	2-2	III Liga - Group 4

Naprzód
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Chełmianka Chełm(home)	0-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Moravia Morawica(away)	2-4	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026	Wiślanie Jaśkowice(away)	0-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026	Korona Kielce II(home)	5-4	III Liga - Group 4

How many goals should we expect?

Jarosław score 2.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 13; Naprzód score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Jarosław	2.2	1.7	1	11/13	11/13
Naprzód	1.5	1.8	2	7/15	9/15

Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Jarosław sit 6th in III Liga - Group 4 (7 points from 5 matches) and Naprzód sit 12th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Jarosław	5	2	1	2	9	8	7
12	Naprzód	5	2	0	3	9	13	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Jarosław vs Naprzód?: The Footlab model makes Jarosław the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Naprzód.
Where and when is Jarosław vs Naprzód played?: Jarosław vs Naprzód is played on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion JKS-u, in the III Liga - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.