Deportes Limache vs Concepción: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 30Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza, Limache
The Footlab model makes Deportes Limache the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Concepción. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportes Limache vs Concepción?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Deportes Limache (1,747) and Concepción (1,741).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportes Limache have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Concepción have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Huachipato(away) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Universidad de Chile(home) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | O'Higgins(away) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Deportes Iquique(away) | 1-3 | Copa Chile |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Colo Colo(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Coquimbo Unido(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Cobresal(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Universidad de Concepcion(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | U. Catolica(home) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Jul 27, 2026 | O'Higgins(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Deportes Limache win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Concepción win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2026 | Concepción 3-2 Deportes Limache | Primera División |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Concepción 1-1 Deportes Limache | Segunda División |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Deportes Limache 2-0 Concepción | Segunda División |
| Sep 14, 2022 | Concepción 0-1 Deportes Limache | Segunda División |
| Jun 6, 2022 | Deportes Limache 0-0 Concepción | Segunda División |
| Nov 23, 2021 | Concepción 1-1 Deportes Limache | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Concepción vs Deportes Limache on Jun 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportes Limache score 1.6 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Concepción score 1.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportes Limache | 1.6 | 2.1 | 0 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
| Concepción | 1.6 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportes Limache sit 9th in Primera División (21 points from 15 matches) and Concepción sit 14th (14 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Deportes Limache | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 31 | 27 |
| 8 | Concepción | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 24 | 27 |
| 9 | Deportes Limache | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 23 | 21 |
| 14 | Concepción | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 23 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportes Limache vs Concepción?
- The Footlab model makes Deportes Limache the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Concepción.
- Where and when is Deportes Limache vs Concepción played?
- Deportes Limache vs Concepción is played on December 6, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.