Deportes Limache vs Concepción: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 30Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza, Limache
The Footlab AI model makes Deportes Limache the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Concepción. The most likely score is 1-1. If Deportes Limache wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportes Limache vs Concepción?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Deportes Limache (1,759) and Concepción (1,762).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Deportes Limache vs Concepción
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Deportes Limache
4-2-3-1- 9G. Sosa
- 16J. Meneses
- 27T. Galletto
- 19D. Castro
- 25M. Llantén
- 15V. Álvarez
- 2A. Aguirre
- 24A. Parot
- 11Javier Rojas
- 33D. Escobar
- 17C. González
Concepción
4-1-4-1- 32J. Larrivey
- 20J. Henríquez
- 16M. Sandoval
- 30E. Espinoza
- 23C. Riquelme
- 18Y. Rodríguez
- 21N. Rodríguez
- 4A. Cáceres
- 29D. Varas
- 37F. Grillo
- 25N. Araya
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportes Limache have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Concepción have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Palestino(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Union La Calera(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Cobresal(home) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Nublense(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Everton de Vina(home) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Union La Calera(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | O'Higgins(away) | 0-2 | Copa Chile |
| Sep 30, 2026 | O'Higgins(home) | 0-1 | Copa Chile |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Curico Unido(home) | 2-0 | Copa Chile |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Curico Unido(away) | 4-0 | Copa Chile |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Deportes Limache wins, 3 draws, 1 Concepción win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2026 | Concepción 3-2 Deportes Limache | Primera División |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Concepción 1-1 Deportes Limache | Segunda División |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Deportes Limache 2-0 Concepción | Segunda División |
| Sep 14, 2022 | Concepción 0-1 Deportes Limache | Segunda División |
| Jun 6, 2022 | Deportes Limache 0-0 Concepción | Segunda División |
| Nov 23, 2021 | Concepción 1-1 Deportes Limache | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Concepción vs Deportes Limache on Jun 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportes Limache score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Concepción score 1.5 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportes Limache | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Concepción | 1.5 | 0.5 | 8 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportes Limache sit 6th in Primera División (34 points from 24 matches) and Concepción sit 8th (32 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Deportes Limache | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 45 | 37 | 34 |
| 8 | Concepción | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 27 | 32 |
A question about Deportes Limache vs Concepción?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportes Limache vs Concepción?
- The Footlab AI model makes Deportes Limache the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Concepción.
- Where and when is Deportes Limache vs Concepción played?
- Deportes Limache vs Concepción is played on December 6, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.